3 Month Rate Directional (3MD)

Trading procedure
EMA9
above the EMA18 = Long
EMA9 below the EMA18 = Short
That’s it, track it here
What we’re trading
Interest rate educational videos & links

What’s its done & to track it forward GEZ21 3 year chart, weekly opinion

Date Position Price Point + or – Net Gain or loss
24-Aug-15 long 97.14
07-Nov-16 short 98.06 0.92 $18,000.00
09-Oct-17 long 97.71 0.35 $3,750.00
06-Nov-17 short 97.62 -0.09 -$2,750.00
26-Nov-18 long 96.98 0.64 $15,500.00
31-Jul-18 Open Equity 98.30 1.32 $32,500.00
Net Profit of Loss $67,000.00
Start Balance $25,000.00
Net Liquidating Value $92,000.00
Net Gain or Loss 268.00%

Performance is based on trading one $25,000 unit, never adding units. This program uses leverage, has a realistic risk factor of $12,500 USD per unit, if you are not in a position to comfortably assume this risk you should not participate in this program, see Risk DisclosureDefining Overall Risk For Your Account,

1) Analysis for outright long or short positions

3 month rates (GEU19) September 2019

1.01) Today’s technical opinion
1.02) 2 day chart, 15 minute data
1.03) 3 day chart, 30 minute
1.04) 5 day chart, 60 minute data
1.05) 10 day chart, 120 minute
1.06) 3 month chart, daily
1.07) 6 month chart, daily
1.08) 9 month chart, daily
1.09) 1 year chart, weekly
1.10) 3 year chart, weekly
1.11) 7 year chart, monthly
1.12) 15 year chart, monthly
1.13) 1983 – current chart
1.14) Ranges & price performance
1.15) Support & resistance
1.16) Barchart quotes, all deliveries
1.17) Barchart options quotes
1.18) Exchange = CME
1.19) Contract Specifications each 0.01 = 25.00 USD
1.20)Exchange Margin Requirement
1.21) US Rate Curve
1.22) 30 Year chart & historical data 3 Month Rate
1.23) Eurodollar Interest Rate Futures Video

3 month rates (GEZ19) December 2019

1.24) Today’s technical opinion
1.25) 2 day chart, 15 minute data
1.26) 3 day chart, 30 minute
1.27) 5 day chart, 60 minute data
1.28) 10 day chart, 120 minute
1.29) 3 month chart, daily
1.30) 6 month chart, daily
1.31) 9 month chart, daily
1.32) 1 year chart, weekly
1.33) 3 year chart, weekly
1.34) 7 year chart, monthly
1.35) 15 year chart, monthly
1.36) 1983 – current chart
1.37) Ranges & price performance
1.38) Support & resistance

3 month rates (GEZ20) December 2020

1.39) Today’s technical opinion
1.40) 2 day chart, 15 minute data
1.41) 3 day chart, 30 minute
1.42) 5 day chart, 60 minute data
1.43) 10 day chart, 120 minute
1.44) 3 month chart, daily
1.45) 6 month chart, daily
1.46) 9 month chart, daily
1.47) 1 year chart, weekly
1.48) 3 year chart, weekly
1.49) 7 year chart, monthly
1.50) 15 year chart, monthly
1.51) 1983 – current chart
1.52) Ranges & price performance
1.53) Support & resistance

3 month rates (GEZ21) December 2021

1.54) Today’s technical opinion
1.55) 2 day chart, 15 minute data
1.56) 3 day chart, 30 minute
1.57) 5 day chart, 60 minute data
1.58) 10 day chart, 120 minute
1.59) 3 month chart, daily
1.60) 6 month chart, daily
1.61) 9 month chart, daily
1.62) 1 year chart, weekly
1.63) 3 year chart, weekly
1.64) 7 year chart, monthly
1.65) 15 year chart, monthly
1.66) 1983 – current chart
1.67) Ranges & price performance
1.68) Support & resistance

3 month rates (GEZ22) December 2022

1.54) Today’s technical opinion
1.55) 2 day chart, 15 minute data
1.56) 3 day chart, 30 minute
1.57) 5 day chart, 60 minute data
1.58) 10 day chart, 120 minute
1.59) 3 month chart, daily
1.60) 6 month chart, daily
1.61) 9 month chart, daily
1.62) 1 year chart, weekly
1.63) 3 year chart, weekly
1.64) 7 year chart, monthly
1.65) 15 year chart, monthly
1.66) 1983 – current chart
1.67) Ranges & price performance
1.68) Support & resistance

3 month rates (GEZ23) December 2023

1.54) Today’s technical opinion
1.55) 2 day chart, 15 minute data
1.56) 3 day chart, 30 minute
1.57) 5 day chart, 60 minute data
1.58) 10 day chart, 120 minute
1.59) 3 month chart, daily
1.60) 6 month chart, daily
1.61) 9 month chart, daily
1.62) 1 year chart, weekly
1.63) 3 year chart, weekly
1.64) 7 year chart, monthly
1.65) 15 year chart, monthly
1.66) 1983 – current chart
1.67) Ranges & price performance
1.68) Support & resistance

3 month rates (GEZ24) December 2024

1.54) Today’s technical opinion
1.55) 2 day chart, 15 minute data
1.56) 3 day chart, 30 minute
1.57) 5 day chart, 60 minute data
1.58) 10 day chart, 120 minute
1.59) 3 month chart, daily
1.60) 6 month chart, daily
1.61) 9 month chart, daily
1.62) 1 year chart, weekly
1.63) 3 year chart, weekly
1.64) 7 year chart, monthly
1.65) 15 year chart, monthly
1.66) 1983 – current chart
1.67) Ranges & price performance
1.68) Support & resistance

2) The Market’s expected increase or decrease in rates

What 17+ trillion in face value of open derivatives positions is telling us about where rates will be and when through December 2027, to the 0.005%.

If you’d like to learn how we’re trading these message me with a date, time & contact number  and I’ll walk you through it, the indicators I’m using are already dropped into the charts.

How to read these charts

Between September 2019 & December 2019

2.01) September 2019 to December 2019 priced in change (3 day, 15 minute)
2.02) September 2019 to December 2019 (10 day, 30 minute)
2.03) September 2019 to December 2019 (10 day, 60 minute)
2.04) September 2019 to December 2019 (10 day, 120 minute)
2.05) September 2019 to December 2019 (1 month, 120 minute)
2.06) September 2019 to December 2019 (2 month, daily)
2.07) September 2019 to December 2019 (6 month, daily)
2.08) September 2019 to December 2019 (3 year, weekly)
2.09) September 2019 to December 2019 (5 year, monthly)
2.10) September 2019 opinion
2.11) December 2019 opinion

Between September 2019 & December 2020

2.11) September 2019 to December 2020 priced in change (3 day, 15 minute)
2.12) September 2019 to December 2020 (10 day, 30 minute)
2.13) September 2019 to December 2020 (10 day, 60 minute)
2.14) September 2019 to December 2020 (10 day, 120 minute)
2.15) September 2019 to December 2020 (1 month, 120 minute)
2.16) September 2019 to December 2020 (2 month, daily)
2.17) September 2019 to December 2020 (6 month, daily)
2.18) September 2019 to December 2020 (3 year, weekly)
2.19) September 2019 to December 2020 (5 year, monthly)
2.20) September 2019 opinion
2.21) December 2020 opinion

Between September 2019 & December 2021

2.22) September 2019 to December 2021 priced in change (3 day, 15 minute)
2.23) September 2019 to December 2021 (10 day, 30 minute)
2.24) September 2019 to December 2021 (10 day, 60 minute)
2.25) September 2019 to December 2021 (10 day, 120 minute)
2.26) September 2019 to December 2021 (1 month, 120 minute)
2.27) September 2019 to December 2021 (2 month, daily)
2.28) September 2019 to December 2021 (6 month, daily)
2.29) September 2019 to December 2021 (3 year, weekly)
2.30) September 2019 to December 2021 (5 year, monthly)
2.31) September 2019 opinion
2.12) December 2021 opinion

Between September 2019 & December 2022

2.33) September 2019 to December 2022 priced in change (3 day, 15 minute)
2.34) September 2019 to December 2022 (10 day, 30 minute)
2.35) September 2019 to December 2022 (10 day, 60 minute)
2.36) September 2019 to December 2022 (10 day, 120 minute)
2.37) September 2019 to December 2022 (1 month, 120 minute)
2.38) September 2019 to December 2022 (2 month, daily)
2.39) September 2019 to December 2022 (6 month, daily)
2.40) September 2019 to December 2022 (3 year, weekly)
2.41) September 2019 to December 2022 (5 year, monthly)
2.42) September 2019 opinion
2.43) December 2022 opinion

Between September 2019 & December 2023

2.44) September 2019 to December 2023 priced in change (3 day, 15 minute)
2.45) September 2019 to December 2023 (10 day, 30 minute)
2.46) September 2019 to December 2023 (10 day, 60 minute)
2.47) September 2019 to December 2023 (10 day, 120 minute)
2.48) September 2019 to December 2023 (1 month, 120 minute)
2.49) September 2019 to December 2023 (2 month, daily)
2.50) September 2019 to December 2023 (6 month, daily)
2.51) September 2019 to December 2023 (3 year, weekly)
2.52) September 2019 to December 2023 (5 year, monthly)
2.53) September 2019 opinion
2.54) December 2023 opinion

Between September 2019 & December 2024

2.55) September 2019 to December 2024 priced in change (3 day, 15 minute)
2.56) September 2019 to December 2024 (10 day, 30 minute)
2.57) September 2019 to December 2024 (10 day, 60 minute)
2.58) September 2019 to December 2024 (10 day, 120 minute)
2.59) September 2019 to December 2024 (1 month, 120 minute)
2.60) September 2019 to December 2024 (2 month, daily)
2.61) September 2019 to December 2024 (6 month, daily)
2.62) September 2019 to December 2024 (3 year, weekly)
2.63) September 2019 to December 2024 (5 year, monthly)
2.64) September 2019 opinion
2.65) December 2024 opinion

Between September 2019 & December 2025

2.66) September 2019 to December 2025 priced in change (3 day, 15 minute)
2.67) September 2019 to December 2025 (10 day, 30 minute)
2.68) September 2019 to December 2025 (10 day, 60 minute)
2.69) September 2019 to December 2025 (10 day, 120 minute)
2.70) September 2019 to December 2025 (1 month, 120 minute)
2.71) September 2019 to December 2025 (2 month, daily)
2.72) September 2019 to December 2025 (6 month, daily)
2.73) September 2019 to December 2025 (3 year, weekly)
2.74) September 2019 to December 2025 (5 year, monthly)
2.75) September 2019 opinion
2.76) December 2025 opinion

Between September 2019 & December 2026

2.77) September 2019 to December 2026 priced in change (3 day, 15 minute)
2.78) September 2019 to December 2026 (10 day, 30 minute)
2.79) September 2019 to December 2026 (10 day, 60 minute)
2.80) September 2019 to December 2026 (10 day, 120 minute)
2.81) September 2019 to December 2026 (1 month, 120 minute)
2.82) September 2019 to December 2026 (2 month, daily)
2.83) September 2019 to December 2026 (6 month, daily)
2.84) September 2019 to December 2026 (3 year, weekly)
2.85) September 2019 opinion
2.86) December 2026 opinion

Between September 2019 & December 2027

2.87) September 2019 to December 2027 priced in change (3 day, 15 minute)
2.88) September 2019 to December 2027 (10 day, 30 minute)
2.89) September 2019 to December 2027 (10 day, 60 minute)
2.90) September 2019 to December 2027 (10 day, 120 minute)
2.91) September 2019 to December 2027 (1 month, 120 minute)
2.92) September 2019 to December 2027 (2 month, daily)
2.93) September 2019 to December 2027 (6 month, daily)
2.94) September 2019 opinion
2.95) December 2027 opinion

Between September 2019 & December 2023

2.96) September 2019 to December 2028 priced in change (3 day, 15 minute)
2.97) September 2019 to December 2028 (10 day, 30 minute)
2.98) September 2019 to December 2028 (10 day, 60 minute)
2.99) September 2019 to December 2028 (10 day, 120 minute)
2.100) September 2019 to December 2028 (1 month, 120 minute)
2.101) September 2019 to December 2028 (2 month, daily)
2.102) September 2019 to December 2028 (6 month, daily)
2.103) September 2019 opinion
2.104) December 2028 opinion

Between December 2019 & December 2022

2.44) December 2019 to December 2022 priced in change (3 day, 15 minute)
2.45) December 2019 to December 2022 (10 day, 30 minute)
2.46) December 2019 to December 2022 (10 day, 60 minute)
2.47) December 2019 to December 2022 (10 day, 120 minute)
2.48) December 2019 to December 2022 (1 month, 120 minute)
2.49) December 2019 to December 2022 (2 month, daily)
2.50) December 2019 to December 2022 (6 month, daily)
2.51) December 2019 to December 2022 (3 year, weekly)
2.52) December 2019 to December 2022 (5 year, monthly)
2.53) December 2019 opinion
2.54) December 2022 opinion

Between December 2019 & December 2023

2.55) December 2019 to December 2023 priced in change (3 day, 15 minute)
2.56) December 2019 to December 2023 (10 day, 30 minute)
2.57) December 2019 to December 2023 (10 day, 60 minute)
2.58) December 2019 to December 2023 (10 day, 120 minute)
2.59) December 2019 to December 2023 (1 month, 120 minute)
2.60) December 2019 to December 2023 (2 month, daily)
2.61) December 2019 to December 2023 (6 month, daily)
2.62) December 2019 to December 2023 (3 year, weekly)
2.63) December 2019 to December 2023 (5 year, monthly)
2.64) December 2019 opinion
2.65) December 2023 opinion

Between December 2020 through December 2022

2.66) December 2020 to December 2022 priced in change (3 day, 15 minute)
2.67) December 2020 to December 2022 (10 day, 30 minute)
2.68) December 2020 to December 2022 (10 day, 60 minute)
2.68) December 2020 to December 2022 (20 day, 60 minute)
2.70) December 2020 to December 2022 (10 day, 120 minute)
2.71) December 2020 to December 2022 (1 month, 120 minute)
2.72) December 2020 to December 2022 (6 month, daily)
2.73) December 2020 to December 2022 (3 year, weekly)
2.74) December 2020 to December 2022 (5 year, monthly)
2.75) December 2020 opinion
2.76) December 2022 opinion

If you would like me to walk you through the specifics send a message with a date and review time or contact me.

3) Review links

3.01) Today’s probability for a rate hike at the next Fed meeting
3.02) Interest rate 3 month to 30 year curve
3.03) Fed Meetings and Press Conferences
3.04) Understanding the FOMC Report
3.05) Interest Rate Analysis page

4) Interest Rate Futures/Options Educational Videos and Resources

4.01) Futures Educational Videos (33)
4.02) Futures Options Educational Videos (34)

4.03) Eurodollar Interest Rate Futures Contracts
4.04) Eurodollar Futures Pricing And The Forward Rate Market
4.05) How to Trade Eurodollar Spreads
4.06) Fed Fund Futures contracts
4.07)
Understanding IMM Price and Date

4.08) Understanding Eurodollar Strips
4.09) What is the Eurodollar Settlement Process?
4.10) Treasury Futures Contracts
4.11) Calculating U.S. Treasury Pricing
4.12) Treasury Intermarket Spreads – The Yield Curve
4.13) Trading the U.S. Treasury Curve: Two versus Ten
4.14) How Can You Measure Risk in Treasuries?
4.15) Treasuries Hedging and Risk Management
4.16) The Basics of Treasuries Basis
4.17) Treasuries Delivery Process
4.18) The Importance of Basis Point Value (BPV)
4.19) Understanding Packs and Bundles
4.20) Understanding Convexity Bias
4.21) Understanding the FOMC Report
4.22) Get to know Treasuries Cheapest To Deliver (CTD)
4.23) Trading the Link Between USD/JPY and U.S. Treasuries

5) Previous Rate Reports and Articles 2015 – 2018

5.01) June 2018 Update Trading Rates Higher
5.02) US Economy by the numbers 2000 – 2018 4 June 2018
5.03) Trading Rates Higher & Fed Expectations 28 November 2017
5.04) Trading the Fed Funds rate higher 13 March 2017
5.05) Trade update 11 August 2016 through 20 January 2017
5.06) Trading Rates Higher & Fed Expectations 20 January 2017
5.07) Update Seeking Alpha 13 January 2017
5.08) Market Versus Fed For Rates 16 September 2016
5.09) Market Versus Fed Expectations December 2019 4 Sep. 2016
5.10) Update on Seeking Alpha 5 September 2016
5.11) Who’s right the market or the Fed 31 May 2016
5.12) Original positions published on Seeking Alpha 5 Nov. 2015
5.13) Countdown to Higher Rates 9 October 2015
5.14) Trading 3 Month Rates & Fed Expectations 24 Sep. 2015
5.15) What I See On The Horizon 6 August 2015
5.16) Hedging Treasury Risk 3 August 2015
5.17) The Math On Why U.S. Inflation Is “contained” 22 July 2015
5.18) Trading the Fed Funds Rate Higher 23 July 2015
5.19) Trading Rates Higher & Fed Expectations 9 June 2015
5.20) Trading 3 Month Rates & Fed Expectations 27 April 2015
5.21) Trading Rates Higher Using Cost Averaging 24 March 2015
5.22) Market versus Fed expectations 23 March 2015

6) Fed Funds Risk Reward Spreadsheets

6.01) 3 Month Rates Mar., Jun. Dec. Fed Funds Mar. hedge
6.02) Fed Funds December 2016
6.03) Fed Funds March 2016 S 99.74 (no hedge)
6.04) Fed Funds December 2016 S 99.46 (no hedge) 100K
6.05) Fed Funds December 2016 S 99.46 (no hedge) 10K
6.06) Trading 3 month rates higher through December 2016
6.07) July 2015 25k no hedge

6.08) July 2015 99.83 25K cost average hedge
6.09) July 2015 99.82 25K 87.50 hedge
6.10) July 2015 10K 99.81/99.75 hedge
6.11) Sep 2015 25k cost average hedge

6.12) Oct 2015 25K cost average hedge
6.13) Dec 2015 25K cost average hedge

7) 3 Month Deposit Spreadsheets

7.01) 3 Month Dec 2017 S 99.70 (no hedge)
7.02) 3 Month put weighted vol spread Dec 2017
7.03) 3 Month vol spread Dec 2017
7.04) 3 Month vol bear spread no hedge Dec 2017
7.05) 3 Month GEH-M-Z-201616 Fed Funds ZQ-H16 10.05.2015
7.06) Contract specifications
7.07) 3 Month Hedged Cost Average
7.08) 3 Month Rate September 2015 hedge
7.09) 3 Month Rate December 2015 hedge

8) Program Structure and Account Opening Procedure

8.01) Automated Trading Accounts (ATA)
8.02) The Fee Structure For This Program
8.03) Defining Overall Risk For Your Account

8.04) Exchanges Traded
8.05) Brokerage Firms
8.06) How Balances Are Guaranteed Plus or Minus Trading
8.07) How To Open An Account

If you have any questions send a message or contact me

Regards,
Peter Knight Advisor

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