Contact

Websites and videos aren’t meant to replace me, if you have any questions at any time please send a message,  email peter_knight@peterknightadvisor.com or contact me.

Peter Knight Advisor
Asset Investment Management

Direct Phone 24/7
British Virgin Islands
+340-244-4310
Skype: Peter Knight Advisor BVI

Open An Account

3252 Main
Road Town, Tortola
British Virgin Islands
VG1110x
BVI Location Google Maps
18° 24′ 0″ N / 64° 36′ 0″ W

Operations
London
+44-20-3289-9796
Chicago
+312-852-0201
+312-276-8347 Fax

Frequently Asked Questions About the British Virgin Islands

Airport

Corporations

Taxation

Real Estate Prices

Landing in Tortola

Aerial of the Islands

____________________________________________________________________________

Privacy Notice

Disclosure

GEU18 GEZ23 20180706 in at 0.5500

Track me capturing the slow move higher in rates

0.5500, Entry 6 July 2018, position value = $5,500.00
1.1000,
My objective, position value =$11,000.00
1.4000,
Fed’s target, position value = $14,000.00
Current chart, Each 0.01 = $100.00 (spread price on the lower right)
Message  or contact me with any questions

Fed’s projections through December 2020 (2 minutes 30 seconds)
Full Fed press conference video (52:19)

Historical chart 2014 – 2018, each 0.01 = $100.00

About this trade
Trade entry date 6th of July 2018
Long 4 September 2018 GEU18 97.5400
Short 4 December 2023  GEZ23 96.9900
GEU18 97.5400 – GEZ23 96.9900 = 0.5500%
Market’s expected rate hike between Sep. 2018 & Dec. 2023 = 0.5500%
Position value at 0.5500 X $10,000.00 = $5,500.00
We’re expecting the price to increase from 0.5500
Quotes all deliveries

Long term profit objective 1.10
Position value at the long-term profit objective of 1.10 = $11,000.00
Gain = $5,500.00 (100.00%)

If the market prices in the Fed’s rate hike expectations
Fed Objective 1.40
Position value at the Fed’s objective 1.40 = $14,000.00
Gain = $8,500.00 (154.54%)

Videos and educational links

Video – about Eurodollar Interest Rate Futures
Video – basics of trading Eurodollar interest rate spreads
More Interest Rate Educational Videos and Links
Today’s probability for a rate hike at the next Fed meeting
US Economic Reality 2000-2018
US Rate Analysis
Euro Rate Analysis

Minimum for this program $10,000 USD or major currency equivalent.

Introduction and my objective
The fee structure for this program
Open an account

If you have questions send a message or contact me.

Regards,
Peter Knight Advisor

BVI 24/7 direct line +340-244-4310
Skype Peter Knight Advisor BVI

Operations
+44-20-3289-9796 (London)
+312-852-0201 (Chicago)

—————————————————————-

Privacy Notice

Disclosure

 


TradeView Opening Instructions

If you have any questions or need assistance send a message or contact me

1) To Open an Account Online

1.1) Open An Account Online
____Agent/Trade Desk: Michael Lombardo
____Broker Number: 211790
____Platform: Rhino Trader, it’s not necessary with ATA’s
____Subscription: Not Necessary with ATA’s

1.2) Limited Power of Attorney for ATA’s
_____Authorize: Asset Investment Management

1.3) Funding Instructions

1.4) ATA Advisory & Risk Control Agreement_____

1.5) One of the following documents identifying the Client
____Copy of a valid passport
____Copy of a current Governmental identification card
____Copy of a valid driving license

1.6) One of the following documents for confirmation of residential address:
____Original or copy of a utility bill (telephone, electricity, etc.)
____Copy of a bank statement from a recognized bank
____Copy of a credit card statement with residence
____Copy of lease agreement

2) Entities that can be accommodated

Please complete this form and we’ll send the application & instructions

Foundations
Trusts
Corporate with shares in Registered form
Corporate with shares in Bearer form
Private enterprise
Credit Institution
Investment firm which provides investment services to the clients
Other authorized or regulated financial firms
Insurance companies
UCITS and their management companies
Pension Fund and management companies of such funds
Commodity and commodity derivatives dealers
Non-commercial unions, societies, clubs, provident funds and charities
Unincorporated businesses, partnerships
Central Banks
Supranational organizations

3) Institutional Services

4.1) Multi Account Manager (MAM) software
4.2) MetaTrader 4 Bridge
4.2) Omnibus Partnership
4.3) FIX API, Financial Information Exchange
4.4) Clearing and liquidity

4) Capabilities

One account enables you to trade Futures, Stocks and Forex with direct access to the following exchanges.

Exchanges Exchange location
BATS Options USA
BME (Madrid Stock Exchange) Spain
BOX (Boston Options Exchange) USA
CBOE (Chicago Board Options Exchange) USA
CBOT (Chicago Board of Trade) USA
CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) USA
CSE (OMX Copenhagen) Denmark
EURONEXT Amsterdam The Netherlands
EURONEXT Brussels Belgium
EURONEXT Lisbon Portugal
EURONEXT Paris France
FSE (Frankfurt Stock Exchange) Germany
HKEx (Hong Kong Exchanges) Hong Kong
HSE (OMX Helsinki) Finland
ISE (International Securities Exchange) USA
LSE (London Stock Exchange) UK
MEX (Mexican Stock Exchange) Mexico
MIL (Milan Stock Exchange) Italy
MOEX (Moscow Exchange) Russia
NASDAQ Options Market USA
NASDAQ USA
NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) USA
NYSE (New York Stock Exchange) USA
NYSE ARCA USA
NYSE AMEX USA
NYSE MKT USA
OSE (Oslo Stock Exchange) Norway
PHLX (Philadelphia Stock Exchange) USA
SET (Stock Exchanges of Thailand) Thailand
SIX (Swiss Exchange) Switzerland
SSE (OMX Stockholm) Sweden
TSE (Tokyo Stock Exchange) Japan
TSE (Toronto Stock Exchange) Canada
TSX (Toronto Venture Exchange) Canada
UE (Ukrainian Exchange) Ukraine
VIE (Vienna Stock Exchange) Austria

Platforms

5) Multiple Account Trading Platform

  • Direct Market Access to multiple market destinations for high speed order execution and validation without compromising latency.
  • Enables the ability to place real-time orders to Equity, Futures and Forex Markets via secured order entry connections in which all multiple accounts are transmitted to executing firms in one master account.
  • Automatically transmit, receive and cancel advanced order types, execution reports, order status, positions, liquidity flags, account balances
  • Order by Order checks for Maximum Price Discrepancy, Order Throttle and Duplicate Orders
  • Enables Mass Order Cancellation
  • Order and risk tools for a financial institutions to send its omnibus orders to its broker’s or clearing firm’s execution and risk management platform.
  • Provides the controller of the master account the ability to monitor all transactions of the sub accounts
  • Monitors and applies all pre-trade risk management
  • Offers a post trade reporting tool integrated to properly record trading historical information and portfolio management.
  • Supports Multiple Monitors
  • Register here for more information

6) Rhino Trader 4.0

  • HTML browser-based platform
  • Hybrid Order Ticket (H.O.T.)
  • Quote Board (Quote Spreadsheet)
  • Contemporary data visualization
  • News Feed
  • Customizable Interface
  • Market Data
  • RTD Support for delivering market data to Microsoft Excel
  • Multi-Language: English, Chinese, Japanese, Russian, Turkish
  • More on
  • Demo Account

7) MetaTrader 5

  • Multi-functional platform
  • Technical analysis tools
  • One-click trading capability
  • Algorithmic trading
  • Trading alerts
  • “Market Place”
  • Virtual hosting
  • Advanced market depth and real-time quotes
  • More on MetaTrader
  • Demo Account

8) Sterling Trader Pro

  • One of the leading direct-access trading platforms
  • Ideal for the advanced trader
  • Robust options tools
  • Real-time market analysis
  • Real-time market data
  • Advanced charting with over 60 configurable studies
  • More on Sterling Trader
  • Demo Account

9) Mobile Applications

  • Available for iPad, iPod Touch, Android and Windows Phone 7
  • Real-time quotes and account balance
  • Customizable charts and indicators
  • Easy order entry and modification capability
  • One-click adjustment capability
  • Search and browse tools
  • Watchlist
  • Price alerts
  • Setup default order settings per contract
  • Fractional quotes support
  • Twitter integration

If you have any questions or need assistance send a message or contact me

Regards,
Peter Knight

Disclosure


Currency Mini 2007-2018 (25K) Very Aggressive

This program uses fully disclosed trading methodology (video in section 1 below) enabling you to verify past performance and monitor trades forward, if you’d like me to review it with you send a message with a review date and time.

Introduction (3:01)

Analysis Page   Educational    50K Aggressive  100K Moderate  Message Me

Performance dates 8 January 2007 through 30 June 2018

Recommended Starting Balance $25,000.00
Cumulative Net Profit
$392,475.73
Maximum Drawdown (54.85%)
($13,712.98)
Best Year 2008 +309.37% $77,342.39
Worst Year 2007 +10.21% $2,552.59
2007-2018 Average +136.51% $34,128.32
2018 +109.85%
$27,461.49

Performance is based on trading one contract per trade, never adding additional positions and deducting all net profits annually. Clearing and execution vary from firm to firm below I’m allowing $37.50 per round turn trade for bid/ask spreads, commissions, fees and any potential order execution slippage. (Contract size for this program is 1/2 of a CME IMM futures contract)

Risk Disclosure

Risk Disclosure

1) Disclosure of Trading Methodology (26:33)

If you have questions send a message  or contact me

1.1 ) Option Collars
1.2) Working Examples of Collaring Positions
1.3) 7 year Euro Currency chart, monthly, no analysis
1.4) About Bollinger Bands
1.5) Understanding Moving Averages

1.6) 7 year Euro Currency analysis chart, monthly Data
1.7) Technical Opinion (12 secondary indicators)
1.8) Euro Currency March 2015 to June 2015 daily data
1.9) Explaining Call Options (Short and Long)
1.10) Explaining Put Options (Short and Long)

2) Euro-FX – Today’s Technical Opinion Symbol (E6)

2.1) 15 year chart using monthly data
2.2) 7 year chart, monthly Data
2.3) 3 year chart, weekly data
2.4) 1 year chart, weekly data
2.5)
9 month chart, daily data

2.6) 3 month chart, daily data
2.7)
5 day chart 60 minute data
2.8) 1 day chart, 10 minute data
2.9) Today’s Technical Opinion
2.10) Ranges & Price Performance
2.11) Support & Resistance
2.12) Barchart Quotes, All Deliveries
2.13) Barchart Options Quotes
2.14) CME Futures Quotes, All Deliveries
2.15) CME Option Quotes

2.16) Contract Specifications each 0.01 = $12.50
2.17) Exchange Margin Requirement per 125,000 Euro FX
2.18) EUR Collar Spreadsheet

3) British Pound – Today’s Technical Opinion Symbol (B6)

3.1) 15 year chart using monthly data
3.2) 7 year Chart, monthly Data
3.3) 3 year chart, weekly data
3.4) 1 year chart, weekly data
3.5)
9 month chart, daily data

3.6) 3 month chart, daily data
3.7)
5 day chart 60 minute data

3.8) 1 day chart, 10 minute data
3.9) Today’s Technical Opinion
3.10) Ranges & Price Performance
3.11) Support & Resistance
3.12) Barchart Quotes All Deliveries
3.13) Barchart Options Quotes
3.14) CME Futures Quotes All Deliveries

3.15) CME Option Quotes
3.16) Contract Specifications each 0.01 = $6.25
3.17) Exchange Margin Requirement per 62,500 Pounds
3.18) GBP Collar Spreadsheet

4) Japanese Yen Today’s Technical Opinion Symbol (J6)

4.1) 15 Year chart using monthly data
4.2) 7 Year Chart, monthly Data
4.3) 3 Year chart, weekly data
4.4) 1 year chart, weekly data
4.5)
9 month chart, daily data

4.6) 3 month chart, daily data
4.7)
5 day chart, 60 minute data

4.8) 1 day chart, 10 minute data
4.9) Today’s Technical Opinion
4.10) Ranges & Price Performance
4.11) Support & Resistance
4.12) Barchart Quotes All Deliveries
4.13) Barchart Options Quotes
4.14) CME Futures Quotes All Deliveries
4.15) CME Option Quotes

4.16) Contract Specifications each 0.01 = $12.50
4.17) Exchange Margin Requirement per 12,500,000 Yen
4.18) JPY Collar Spreadsheet

5) Australian Dollar Today’s Technical Opinion Symbol (A6)

5.1) 15 Year chart using monthly data
5.2) 7 Year Chart, monthly Data
5.3) 3 Year chart, weekly data
5.4) 1 year chart, weekly data
5.5)
9 month chart, daily data

5.6) 3 month chart, daily data
5.7)
5 day chart 60 minute data

5.8) 1 day chart, 10 minute data
5.9) Today’s Technical Opinion
5.10) Ranges & Price Performance
5.11) Support & Resistance
5.12) Barchart Quotes All Deliveries
5.13) Barchart Options Quotes
5.14) CME Futures Quotes All Deliveries
5.15) CME Option Quotes
5.16) Contract Specifications each 0.01 = $10.00
5.17) Exchange Margin Requirement per 100,000 Australian
5.18) AUD Collar Spreadsheet

6) Canadian Dollar Today’s Technical Opinion Symbol (D6)

6.1) 15 Year chart using monthly data
6.2) 7 Year Chart, monthly Data
6.3) 3 Year chart, weekly data
6.4) 1 year chart, weekly data
6.5)
9 month chart, daily data

6.6) 3 month chart, daily data
6.7)
5 day chart 60 minute data

6.8) 1 day chart, 10 minute data
6.9) Today’s Technical Opinion
6.10) Ranges & Price Performance
6.11) Support & Resistance
6.12) Barchart Quotes All Deliveries
6.13) Barchart Options Quotes
6.14) CME Futures Quotes All Deliveries
6.15) CME Option Quotes
6.16) Contract Specifications each 0.01 = $10.00
6.17) Exchange margin requirement per 100,000 Canadian
6.18) CAD Collar Spreadsheet

7) Swiss Franc Today’s Technical Opinion Symbol (S6) (not traded)

7.1) 15 Year chart using monthly data
7.2) 7 Year Chart, monthly Data
7.3) 3 Year chart, weekly data
7.4) 1 year chart, weekly data
7.5)
9 month chart, daily data

7.6) 3 month chart, daily data
7.7)
5 day chart 60 minute data

7.8) 1 day chart, 10 minute data
7.9) Today’s Technical Opinion
7.10) Ranges & Price Performance
7.11) Support & Resistance
7.12) Barchart Quotes All Deliveries
7.13) Barchart Options Quotes
7.14) CME Futures Quotes All Deliveries
7.15) CME Option Quotes

7.16) Contract Specifications each 0.01 = $12.50
7.17) Exchange Margin Requirement per 125,000 Swiss

8) Program Structure and Account Opening Procedure

8.1) (ATA’s), What They Are and How They Work
8.2) The Fee Structure For This Program
8.3) Defining Overall Risk For Your Account
8.4) How Balances Are Guaranteed Plus or Minus Trading
8.5) How To Open An Account

9) Educational Resources

9.1) Basics of the Futures Markets
9.2) Basics of Futures Options
9.3) Fundamentals and FX Futures
9.4) Trading the FX Markets
9.5) Australian Dollar Futures
9.6) British Pound Futures
9.7) Canadian Dollar Futures
9.8) Japanese Yen Futures
9.9) Euro FX Futures
9.10) Introduction to Order Types

9.11) Detailed Description of Order Types With Examples
9.12) Understanding Futures Margin Requirements
9.13) Understanding Moving Averages
9.14) About Bollinger Bands & How to Set Them
9.15)
Understanding Support and Resistance

9.16) Defining Trend, Trade Duration & Number of Contracts Traded
9.17) Explaining Call Options (Short and Long)
9.18) Explaining Put Options (Short and Long)
9.19) Option Collars
9.20) Working Examples of Collaring Positions
9.21) What is the European Central Bank?
9.22) Understanding FX Quote Conventions
9.23) FX Futures Pricing and Basis
9.24) Understanding the FX Delivery & Settlement Process
9.25) Hedging FX Risk
9.26) A Look at FX Exchange For Physical (EFP)
9.27) FX Spot Markets vs. Currency Futures
9.28)
Test this strategy on any of these 17 related and unrelated markets

10) Major Curencies Priced In Gold

10.1) Gold GBP +334.23%
10.2) Gold USD +279.19%
10.3) Gold EUR +254.05%
10.4) Gold CAD +238.55%
10.5) Gold JPY +232.03%
10.6) Gold AUD +214.54%9
10.7) Gold CHF +177.12%

11) The US Economy 2000 – 2018

12) Other Markets Traded Using This Strategy

12.1) U.S. Futures markets
12.2) European Futures markets
12.3) Any stock in the S&P 500 with options liquidity

12.4) Any of the top 100 performing stocks with options liquidity

If you have questions send a message  or contact me

Regards,
Peter Knight

—————————————————————-

Privacy Notice

Risk Disclosure

 

S&P 500 ATA 2007-2018

Introduction (9:23)

Analysis Page   Educational Videos & Resources    Send A Message

Performance summary 8 January 2007 – 15 June 2018

Recommended Starting Balance $25,000.00
Cumulative Net Profit
$332,848.38
Maximum Drawdown
($12,457.00)
Best Year 2015 +225.15% $56,287.50
Worst Year 2012 +3.60% $900.00
2007-2018 Average +116.03% $29,048.59
2018 +91.36% $22,840.38

Risk Disclosure

Risk Disclosure

1) Disclosure of Trading Methodology (21:56)

Send a message if you have any questions.

1.1) 1983 – 2018 chart
1.2) 10 Year Chart, Monthly Data
1.3) 5 Year Chart, Weekly Data
1.4) 1 Year Chart, Daily Data ESM18)
1.5) 1 Month using 60 minute data (ESM18)

1.6) Today’s using 5 minute data (ESM18)
1.7) Today’s Technical Opinion(ESM18)
1.8) Ranges & Price Performance (ESM18)
1.9) Support & Resistance
1.10) Barchart Quotes, All Deliveries
1.11) Barchart Options Quotes
1.12) CME Futures Quotes, All Deliveries
1.13) CME Option Quotes

1.14) Contract Specifications each 1.00 = $50.00
1.15) Exchange Margin Requirement
1.16) S&P 500 Collar Spreadsheet

2) Educational

2.1) Basics of the Futures
2.2) Basics of Futures Options
2.3) S&P Educational Videos and Links
2.4) Introduction to Order Types
2.5) Detailed Description of Order Types With Examples
2.6) Understanding Futures Margin Requirements
2.7) Understanding Moving Averages
2.8) Understanding Support and Resistance
2.9) About Bollinger Bands & How to Set Them
2.10) Defining Trend, Trade Duration & Number of Contracts Traded
2.11) Explaining Call Options (Short and Long)
2.12) Explaining Put Options (Short and Long)
2.13) Option Collars
2.14) Working Examples of Collaring Positions and Potential Profit/Loss
2.15) 20 year chart of the S&P Priced in Gold
2.16) Test this strategy on any Bull or Bear market from 1983 to 2018
2.17)
Test this strategy on any of these 17 related and unrelated markets
2.18) Quotes, charts and analysis for all 500 stocks
2.19) SEC filings & information for all 500 stocks

3) The Importance of Trading Long and Short (3:23)

Analysis Page   Educational Videos & Resources   Send Me A Message

3.1) Full Disclosure of trading Methodology
3.2) All Bull & Bear Markets 1983 to 2018
3.3) Excel Spreadsheet 1927-2018 historical data and inflation adjusted
3.4) U.S. Stock Index futures we trade
3.5) European Stock Index futures we trade
3.6) Asian Stock Index Futures
3.7) Why Trade Futures Instead of ETFs?
3.8) A Cost Comparison – Futures versus ETFs
3.9) Top 100 Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs)

4) Program Structure and Account Opening Procedure

4.1) (ATA’s), What They Are and How They Work
4.2) The Fee Structure For This Program
4
.3) Defining Overall Risk For Your Account
4
.4) How Balances Are Guaranteed Plus or Minus Trading
4
.5) How To Open An Account

Other Stock Indices Traded Using This Methodology

5) Euro Stoxx 50 Symbol FX

5.1) 7 Year Chart, Monthly Data
5.2) 3 Year Chart, Weekly Data
5.3) 6 Month Chart, Daily Data
5.4) Today’s Technical Opinion
5.5) Futures Quotes
5.6) Options Quotes
5.7) Contract Specifications3)

6) Dax Index Symbol DY

6.1) 7 Year Chart, Monthly Data
6.2) 3 Year Chart, Weekly Data
6.3) 6 Month Chart, Daily Data
6.4) Today’s Technical Opinion
6.5) Futures Quotes
6.6) Options Quotes
6.7) Contract Specifications

7) Stoxx E600 Banks Symbol FA

7.1) 7 Year Chart, Monthly Data
7.2) 3 Year Chart, Weekly Data
7.3) 6 Month Chart, Daily Data
7.4) Today’s Technical Opinion
7.5) Futures Quotes
7.6) Contract Specifications

8) CAC 40 Symbol MX

8.1) 7 Year Chart, Monthly Data
8.2) 3 Year Chart, Weekly Data
8.3) 6 Month Chart, Daily Data
8.4) Today’s Technical Opinion
8.5) Futures Quotes
8.6) Options Quotes
8.7) Contract Specifications

9) Swiss Market Index Symbol SZ

9.1) 7 Year Chart, Monthly Data
9.2) 3 Year Chart, Weekly Data
9.3) 6 Month Chart, Daily Data
9.4) Today’s Technical Opinion
9.5) Futures Quotes
9.6) Options Quotes
9.7) Contract Specifications

10) Gold/Dollar to Global Stock Indices

10.1) S&P 500 (ES) Gold (GC) Ratio 20 year using monthly data
10.2) ES/GC last 12 months using daily data

10.3) Euro Stoxx 50 (FX) Gold (GC) Ratio 20 year using monthly data
10.4) FX/GC last 12 months using daily data

10.5) FTSE 100 (X) Gold (GC Ratio) 20 year using monthly data
10.6) X/GC last 12 months using daily data

10.7) DAX (DY) Gold (GC) Ratio 20 year using monthly data
10.8) DY/GC last 12 months using daily data

10.9) CAC 40 (MX) Gold (GC) Ratio 20 year using monthly data
10.10) MX/GC last 12 months using daily data

11) Other Markets Traded Using This Methodology

11.1) Any stock in the S&P 500 with options liquidity
11.2) Any of the top 100 performing stocks
11.3) U.S. Futures markets
11.4) European Futures markets

12) US Economy Reality 2000 – 2018

13) Major currencies priced in Gold/USD May 2003 to May 2018

The quiet global race to monetize debt

13.1) Gold USD +357.60%
13.2) Gold GBP +334.23%
13.3) Gold EUR +254.05%
13.4) Gold CAD +238.55%
13.5) Gold JPY +232.03%
13.6) Gold AUD +214.54%
13.7) Gold CHF +177.12%

If you have questions send us a message or contact us

Regards,
Peter Knight Advisor

—————————————————————-

Privacy Notice

Risk Disclosure

x

WTIU

Crude Daily 3X Long Proshares

170.55%

OILU

Ultrapro Crude Oil Proshares

167.73%

UWT

Velocity 3X Long Crude Oil

160.96%

USOU

United States 3X Oil Fund

137.71%

UCO

Ultra DJ-UBS Crude Oil Proshares

104.53%

TECL

Technology Bull 3X Direxion

97.65%

LABU

Direxion S&P Biotech Bull 3X

94.81%

SOXL

Semiconductor Bull 3X Direxion

94.20%

HOU.TO

Betapro Crude Oil 2X Daily Bull ETF

92.15%

TQQQ

Ultrapro QQQ Proshares

85.69%

DFEN

Direxion Daily Aerospace Defense Bull 3X Shares

82.92%

USD

Ultra Semiconductors Proshares

77.86%

GUSH

Direxion S&P Oil & Gas Expl Bull 3X

73.58%

CWEB

Direxion CSI China Internet Idx Bull 2X

72.22%

ARKW

Ark Web X.0 ETF

69.02%

BNO

US Brent Oil

68.47%

ROM

Ultra Technology Proshares

67.57%

ARKK

Ark Innovation ETF

66.09%

PTH

DWA Healthcare Mmtm Port PS

62.18%

HOML

Etracs Mt Reset 2X ISE Exc Homebuilders ETN

58.58%

URTY

Ultrapro Russell 2000 Proshares

58.24%

TNA

Smallcap Bull 3X Direxion

57.58%

UDOW

Ultrapro DOW 30 Proshares

56.83%

BBC

Bioshares Biotech Clinical Trial

56.80%

QLD

Ultra QQQ Proshares

55.89%

RETL

Retail Bull 3X Direxion

55.43%

UHN

US Heating Oil

55.39%

IBUY

Amplify Onln Rtl ETF

54.18%

PSCH

S&P Smallcap Health Care Port PS

53.65%

HQU.TO

Betapro Nasdaq 100 2X Daily Bull ETF

52.97%

OLO

DB Crude Oil ETN Powershares

52.64%

DBO

DB Oil Fund PS

51.72%

FDN

DJ Internet Index First Trust

51.46%

FBGX

FI Enhanced Large Cap Growth ETN

51.25%

DTYS

Ipath Treasury 10-Year Bear ETN

51.08%

FLGE

CS FI Large Cap Growth Enhanced ETN

49.69%

SBIO

Alps Medical Breakthroughs ETF

48.62%

FINX

G-X Fintech Thematic ETF

48.37%

YINN

Direxion FTSE China Bull 3X

48.21%

OIIL

CS X-Links WTI Crude Oil Index ETN

47.81%

BDD

DB Base Metals 2X ETN Powershares

47.74%

OLEM

Ipath Pure Beta Crude Oil ETN

47.64%

OILB

Ipath S&P GSCI Crude Oil TR Index Series B ETN

47.63%

XITK

Factset Innovative Technology SPDR

47.41%

DBE

DB Energy Fund PS

47.06%

ERX

Energy Bull 3X Direxion

46.77%

OILX

Etracs S&P GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN

46.50%

USO

US Oil Fund

46.48%

UGA

US Gasoline

45.96%

USL

US 12 Month Oil

45.82%

RJN

Rogers Energy ETN Elements

45.79%

PSJ

Dynamic Software Port PS

45.04%

UBN

CMCI Energy TR ETN UBS E-Tracs

44.07%

SAA

Ultra Smallcap 600 Proshares

43.62%

UPRO

Ultrapro S&P 500 Proshares

42.98%

PNQI

Nasdaq Internet Portfolio PS

42.39%

SLIM

Obesity ETF

41.80%

ARKG

Ark Genomic Revolution Multi-Sector ETF

41.64%

IGV

North American Tech-Software Ishares ETF

41.28%

CRAK

Oil Refiners Vaneck ETF

41.10%

FCA

China Alphadex Fund FT

40.77%

SKYY

Cloud Computing ETF FT

40.50%

PXMG

Russell Midcap Pure Growth Port PS

40.37%

XWEB

S&P Internet ETF SPDR

39.50%

KWEB

Kranes CSI China ETF

39.16%

UMDD

Ultrapro Midcap 400 Proshares

39.12%

OILK

Crude Oil Strategy Proshares

38.44%

UWM

Ultra Russell 2000 Proshares

38.44%

UCC

Ultra Consumer Services Proshares

38.25%

PTF

DWA Technology Mmtm Port PS

38.08%

SMLL

Direxion Smallcap Bull

38.03%

XBM.TO

Ishares SP TSX Global Base Mtls ETF

37.67%

PXE

Dynamic Energy Explor & Prod Port PS

37.55%

SPXL

Direxion S&P 500 Bull 3X

37.29%

IGM

North American Tech Ishares ETF

37.20%

FTXN

Nasdaq Oil & Gas ETF FT

36.37%

FFTY

Innovator Ibd 50 Fund ETF

36.35%

XSW

S&P Software & Srvs ETF SPDR

35.77%

SOCL

G-X Social Media ETF

35.76%

DPST

Direxion Regional Banks Bull 3X

35.73%

XHE

S&P Healthcare Equipment SPDR

35.65%

IPAY

Purefunds ISE Mobile Payments ETF

34.99%

MIDU

Direxion Mid Cap Bull 3X

34.79%

BTEC

Principal Healthcare Innovators Index

34.73%

FXL

Technology Alphadex First Trust

34.63%

XBI

S&P Biotech SPDR

34.53%

FTXL

Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF FT

34.45%

XNTK

SPDR Series Trust

33.89%

IEO

US Oil & Gas Explor & Prod Ishares ETF

33.44%

BUZ

Sprott Buzz Social Media Insights ETF

33.35%

FTEC

Fidelity Info Tech MSCI ETF

33.11%

XIT.TO

Ishares SP TSX Capped Info Tech ETF

32.68%

DIG

Ultra Oil & Gas Proshares

32.50%

FHQ.TO

First Trust US Technology ETF

32.25%

FYC

Smallcap Growth Alphadex Fund FT

30.73%

HACK

Etfmg Prime Cyber Security ETF

29.94%

XOP

S&P Oil & Gas Expl & Prod SPDR

29.50%

PXSG

Russell 2000 Pure Growth Port PS

29.28%

 

Track us capturing the move higher in US interest rates

Fed expectations for hikes through December 2020 (as of 13 June 2018)
Full Fed press conference video (52:19) & Opening Statement (PDF)
Next Fed Meeting 31 July – 1 August 2018

Educational Links US Rate Analysis Euro Rate Analysis

2) Fed’s expectations and contract valuations

0.12% contract value = $500.00 (November 2015)
1.97% contract value = $8,208.33 (13 June 2018)
2.40% December 2018 = $10,000.00
3.10% December 2019 = $12,916.67
3.40% December 2020 = $14,166.67
Each 0.01 = $41.67

3) Fed Funds 1954 – 2018 chart     Data & Contract Valuation (excel)

Four trades capturing the move higher in rates contact me or others.

4) Trading Fed Funds Futures

4.1) ZQZ18 Quote
4.2) 2 Year chart (daily data)
4.3) Quotes all deliveries
4.4) About Fed Funds Futures
4.5) What the Fed Funds Rate is and How it’s set
4.6) Interest Rate Educational Videos and Links
4.7) Today’s probability for a rate hike at the next Fed meeting
4.8) US Economic Reality 2000-2018

5) Fed Funds Trade

Entry = 0.8350 value $3,479.17 to Fed Objective 3.40 value $14,166.65

5.1) Entry short ZQZ18 99.1650 (3 October 2016)
Rate the contract price represents 100.0000 – 99.1650 = 0.8350%
Contract value = 0.8350 X $4,166.67 = $3,479.17

5.2) At Fed’s Objective 100.0000 – 3.40 = 99.6000
Rate the contract price represents 100.0000 – 99.6000 = 3.4000%
Contract value = 3.4000 X $4,166.67 = $14,166.65
Gain if the Fed is correct = +$10,687.48
This position will need to be rolled December 2018

Current chart updated every 5 minutes, each 0.01 = $41.67

6) Trading 3 month deposits outside the Treasury System (eurodollars)

6.1) Quotes all deliveries
6.2) About Eurodollar Interest Rate Futures
6.3) Video the basics of trading Eurodollar interest rate spreads
6.4) Interest Rate Educational Videos and Links
6.5) Today’s probability for a rate hike at the next Fed meeting
6.6) US Economic Reality 2000-2018

7) Trading the rate hikes between September 2018 and December 2020

Entry = 0.39 value $3,900 to the Fed’s Objective 1.40 value $14,000

7.1) Entry the 29th of May 2018
Long 4 December 2018 GEU18 97.6350
Short 4 December 2020 GEZ20 – 97.2450
IntraMarket Spread GEZ18 97.6350 – GEZ20 97.2450 = 0.39
Market’s expected rate hike between Sep. 2018 & Dec. 2020 = 0.39%
Entry position value = 0.3900 X $10,000.00 = $3,900.00

7.2) Our Objective is the Fed’s Target
Fed’s expected rate hikes by December 2020 = 1.40
Position value at the Fed’s target, 1.40 X $10,000.00 = $14,000.00
(The nearby delivery will have to be “rolled” quarterly)
7 year spread chart GEU18 – GEZ20

Intraday GEU18 -GEZ20 chart updated every 5 minutes each 0.01 = $100.00

Strategy: I’m using split objectives on this trade, 1/2 of the position (2 contracts) in at 0.40 or better out at 0.55 to 0.75. 1/2 (2 contracts) trading long-term from 0.3150 to the objective of 1.40 or until we have to roll the GEU18 or the major trend reverses.

8) Trading Rate hikes between December 2018 and December 2020

8.1) Entry the 29th of May 2018
Long 4 December 2018 GEZ18 97.4200
Short 4 December 2020 GEZ20 – 97.1050
IntraMarket Spread GEZ18 97.42 – GEZ20 97.1050 = 0.3150
Market’s expected rate hike between Dec. 2018 & Dec. 2020 = 0.3150%”
Position value 0.3150 X $10,000.00 = $3,150.00
Spread chart GEZ18 – GEZ20 in at 0.3150 expecting the price to increase
Complete report on this trade

8.2) Minimum Objective 0.65
Position value at 0.3150 entry = $3,150.00
Position value at the minimum objective of 0.65 = $6,500
Gain = $3,350 (106.34%)
Spread chart GEZ18 – GEZ20

8.3) At the Fed’s 1.00 target
Position value at 0.3150 entry = $3,150.00
Position value at the Fed’s target of 1.00 = $10,000.00
Gain = $6,850.00 (217.45%)
Spread chart GEZ18 – GEZ20

Current chart updated every 5 minutes, each 0.01 = $100.00

Strategy: I’m using split objectives on this trade, 1/2 of the position (2 contracts) in at 0.40 or better out at 0.55 to 0.65. 1/2 (2 contracts) trading long-term from 0.3150 to the objective of 1.10 or until we have to roll the GEZ18 or the major trend reverses.

9) Trading Rate hikes between September 2018 and December 2023

9.1) Entry the 31th of May 2018
Long 4 September 2018 GEU18 97.5650
Short 4 December 2023 GEU23 – 96.9950
Intramarket Spread GEU18 (97.5650) – GEZ23 (96.9950) =0.5750%
Market’s expected rate hike between Sep. 2018 & Dec. 2023 = 0.5750%
Position value 0.5750 X $10,000.00 = $5,750.00
Spread chart GEZ18 – GEZ23 in at 0.5750 expecting the price to increase

9.2) Minimum Objective 1.00
Position value at 0.5750 entry =$5,750.00
Position value at the minimum objective of 1.00 = $10,000.00
Gain = $4,250.00 (73.91%)
Spread chart GEZ18 – GEZ23

9.3) Our Long Term Objective 2.10
Position value at 0.5750 entry = $5,750.00
Position value at the objective 2.10 = $21,000.00
Gain = $15,250.00 (265.21%)
Spread chart GEZ18 – GEZ23

Current chart updated every 30 minutes, each 0.01 = $100.00

Strategy: I’m using split objectives on this trade, 1/2 of the position (2 contracts) in at 0.60 or better out at 0.75 to 0.90. 1/2 (2 contracts) trading long-term from 0.5750 to the objective of 2.10 or until we have to roll the GEU18 or the major trend reverses.

10) If you’d like to track additional positions send me message

Other rates traded
10.1) US Rates Traded
10.2) European Rates Traded
10.3) Australian Interest rates Traded

11) Rate Reports

11.1) Trading 3 Month Rates Higher & Fed Expectations 24 September 2015
11.2) Countdown To Higher U.S. Interest Rates 9 October 2015
11.3) Market Versus Fed For Rates 16 September 2016
11.4) Trading Rates Higher & Fed Expectations 20 January 2017
11.5) Trading Rates Higher & Fed Expectations 13 March 2017
11.6) Trading Rates Higher & Fed Expectations 28 November 2017

12) Original Positions & Updates Published On Seeking Alpha & Here

12.1) Original positions published on Seeking Alpha 5 November 2015
12.2) Update on Seeking Alpha 5 September 2016
12.3) Update Seeking Alpha 13 January 2017
12.4) Trading Rates Higher Using Cost Averaging 24 March 2015
12.5) Trading 3 Month Rates Higher & Fed Expectations 27 April 2015
12.7) Trading Rates Higher & Fed Expectations 9 June 2015
12.8) The Math On Why U.S. Inflation Is “contained” 22 July 2015
12.9) Hedging Treasury Risk 3 August 2015
12.10) Trading the Fed Funds Rate Higher 23 July 2015
12.11) What I See On The Horizon 6 August 2015

13) Fed Funds Risk Reward Spreadsheets

13.1) What the Fed funds rate is and how it’s set
13.2)
3 Month Rates March, June December Fed Funds March hedge

13.3) Fed Funds December 2016
13.4) Fed Funds March 2016 S 99.74 (no hedge)
13.5) Fed Funds December 2016 S 99.46 (no hedge) 100K
13.6) Fed Funds December 2016 S 99.46 (no hedge) 10K
13.7) Trading 3 month rates higher through December 2016
13.8) July 2015 25k no hedge
13.9) July 2015 99.83 25K cost average hedge
13.10) July 2015 99.82 25K 87.50 hedge
13.11) July 2015 10K 99.81/99.75 hedge
13.12) Sep 2015 25k cost average hedge
13.13) Oct 2015 25K cost average hedge
13.14) Dec 2015 25K cost average hedge

14) 3 Month Deposit Spreadsheets

14.1) What the 3 month rate is and it’s history
14.2) 3 Month Dec 2017 S 99.70 (no hedge)

14.2) 3 Month put weighted vol spread Dec 2017
14.3) 3 Month vol spread Dec 2017
14.4) 3 Month vol bear spread no hedge Dec 2017
14.5) 3 Month GEH-M-Z-201616 Fed Funds ZQ-H16 10.05.2015
14.6) Contract specifications
14.7) 3 Month Hedged Cost Average
14.8) 3 Month Rate September 2015 hedge
14.9) 3 Month Rate December 2015 hedge

15) Other Interest markets we trade

15.1) All US interest rate markets we trade
15.2) European interest rates
15.3) Australian Interest rates
15.4) Educational videos and Links

Open An Account

If you’d like to review this trade, or any of the other programs in our line-up contact me.

Regards,
Peter Knight Advisor
Asset Investment Management

—————————————————————-

Privacy Notice

Disclosure

 

US Economic Numbers 2000-2018

  • Employed US population 2007-2018 is down 1.29%
  • Reported Consumer Prices up 47.84%, actual prices up 68.20% to 135.60%
  • 2000-2018 total Federal Revenue increased by 63.54%
  • 2000 to 2018 Federal debt increased by 265.30%
  • Average Treasury yield prior to “Economic Stimulus” = 6.26%
  • Average Treasury Yield since “”Economic Stimulus” = 2.59%
  • Each Taxpayer’s portion of the national debt, $44,069 to $142,698
  • If rates normalize debt service cost would consume nearly 40% of total Federal Revenue.
Actual Median Income Gold Price Income in Gold 2000-2018
2000 $41,990 $280 150 ounces
2018 $59,039 $1,270 46 ounces
Increase or decrease -69.03%
US Income & Population 2000 – 2018
Median Income Adjusted 0.01%
Median Income Actual 40.60%
Actual Income in Ounces of Gold -69.03%
Employed US Population -1.29%
Reported Consumer Prices (CPI)  47.70%
Growth in Federal Revenue  63.54%
US Population Growth 16.60%
Growth In Federal Debt 265.30%
Growth in Debt As A Percentage of GDP 83.60%
Increases To Consumers 2000-2018
Federal Debt Per Taxpayer 223.81%
Median Home Price 98.40%
Mortgage Debt Outstanding 99.60%
Median Rent 74.40%
Groceries 91.90%
Automobile (Honda Accord #1 Seller) 48.97%
All Consumer Energy Costs 89.60%
Consumer Gasoline Prices  115.30%
Heating Oil  151.20%
Consumer Electricity 68.20%
Personal Health Care 135.60%
Consumer Medical Care  89.10%
Tuition, school fees, childcare 132.30%
Water, Sewer Trash 108.80%
All Sectors; Debt Securities and Loans; 152.03%
BLS.GOV Inflation Calculator 47.84%
Average 100.22%
Spending & Debt 2000-2018
Gross Public Debt 247.46%
Federal Debt 265.29%
Interest Paid ON The National Debt 21.05%
Total Annual Federal Spending 137.07%
Fed Annual Spending Per Capita 103.31%
Annual Healthcare Expenditures 246.23%
Annual Healthcare Per Capita  197.02%
Annual Defense Spending 142.19%
Annual Spending Welfare 142.18%
Annual Federal Pensions 141.74%
Annual on Social Security 120.51%
Federal Debt to GDP  83.60%
Total State Debt 118.18%
Total State Spending  131.58%
Total Local Debt  113.33%
Total Local Spending  83.83%
Local Annual Spending on Education 117.71%
Average 141.90%
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 2000-2018
Non Adjusted Growth in US GDP 88.54%
Non Adjusted GDP to Federal Debt 87.13%
Adjusted GDP to Federal Debt  83.60%
Stocks 2000-2018
Nasdaq 100 98.40%
DOW 125.18%
S&P 105.15%
Average 109.58%
Commodities 2000-2018
Gold 356.18%
Silver 212.21%
Platinum 85.74%
Palladium 104.29%
Copper 267.86%
Median Home Price 98.40%
Crude Oil 145.63%
Wheat 125.21%
Corn 82.55%
Soybeans 102.46%
Cattle 61.76%
Cotton 67.82%
Lumber 71.39%
Average 137.04%
Non US Stock Indices
DAX (2001) 146.43%
Swiss Market Index 24.36%
CAC 40 -3.15%
Euro Stoxx 50 (2001) -24.09%
Average 35.89%

Looking at the hard numbers it’s evident that true US inflation is running much higher than reported inflation.

This under reporting might be acceptable if  median income was rising as quickly as true inflation but it’s not, Median Income from 2000 to 2018 was up a mere 0.0085% while reported inflation was up 47.70% and true inflation over 100%.

During “Economic Stimulus” quality of life for US citizens has deteriorated faster than any other period since the Great Depression.

Why does the BLS.GOV under report inflation?

By under reporting inflation the US Government has been able to suppress and contain interest rates, with it debt service cost. Currently the average interest rate paid on US Government Debt is 2.52% or 3.74% below the 20 year average of 6.26% prior to “Economic Stimulus”.

Average Treasury rates prior to “Economic Stimulus” = 6.26%


Average Treasury rates since “Economic Stimulus” = 2.59%


Primary Governmental Motivation

If inflation was being reported accurately and rates normalized it would cost the US. Government an additional 790 billion annually in debt service cost.

Should rate normalization occur, annual debt service cost would be greater than 1.3 trillion, consuming nearly 40% of all tax receipts.

Projected budget deficits would increase from 850 billion in 2018 to over 1.6 trillion.

Secondary Governmental Motivation

Currently desperate depositors looking for higher interest income to survive have been forced into Treasuries with longer dated maturities.  This has enabled the Federal Government to fix its debt for the longest period of time at the lowest rate on record.

As rates rise the liquidation price of these Treasuries will fall for example, if a 10 year is trading at 100.00 = liquidation value $100,000 with a yield of 3.00% should rates rise by 2.00% this Treasury will be discounted by $20,000 with its liquidation value falling from $100,000 at 3.00% to $80,000 at 5.00%. (10 year X 2.00% – $20,000)

My conclusion is the US and other countries will continue their inflation misrepresentations in an attempt to quietly monetize their debt. Their expectation is that incomes will eventually from inflation generating more tax revenue while at the same time the majority of Government debt is fixed for greater than 6 years.

Gold the worlds oldest monetary benchmark tells the story

10) Increase in Gold against major currencies priced in Gold/USD

10.1) Gold USD +357.60%
10.2) Gold GBP +334.23%
10.3) Gold EUR +254.05%
10.4) Gold CAD +238.55%
10.5) Gold JPY +232.03%
10.6) Gold AUD +214.54%9
10.7) Gold CHF +177.12%

The upside is inflation misrepresentations, short-term rates rising, trade wars, and political tension with fuel major market moves in 2018 and beyond.

This quiet dollar devaluation will continue to support tangible assets like real estate, stocks, (as stocks are more of a tangible asset than the USD which has been created by the trillions with a few mouse clicks, over 4 trillion in the last decade alone) .

If you have questions send a message  or contact me

Regards,
Peter Knight Advisor

—————————————————————-

Privacy Notice

Risk Disclosure

US Income & Population 2000 to 2018 Increase In US Dollars 2000 to 2018 Increase In ounces OfGold
Median Income  0.0085%
US Population Growth 16.60%
Employed US Population -1.29%
 
Reported Consumer Prices (CPI)  47.70%
Acutal Increases For Consumners 2000-2018
Federal Debt Per Taxpayer 223.81%
Median Home Price 98.40%
Mortgage Debt Outstanding 99.60%
Median Rent 74.40%
Groceries 91.90%
All Consumer Energy Costs 89.60%
Consumer Gasoline Prices  115.30%
Heating Oil  151.20%
Consumer Electricity 68.20%
Personal Health Care 135.60%
Consumer Medical Care  89.10%
Tuition, school fees, childcare 132.30%
Water, Sewer Trash 108.80%
All Sectors; Debt Securities and Loans; 152.03%
US Governmental Spending & Debt 2000-2018
Gross Public Debt 247.45%
Federal Debt 265.30%
Total Annual Federal Spending 132.96%
Fed Annual Spending Per Capita 143.28%
Fed Annual Healthcare Expenditures 246.23%
Fed Annual Healthcare Per Capita  197.02%
Annual Defense Spending 142.19%
Annual Spending Welfare 142.18%
Annual Federal Pensions 141.74%
Annual on Social Security 120.51%
Federal Debt to GDP  83.60%
Total State Debt 118.18%
Total State Spending  131.58%
Total Local Debt  113.33%
Total Local Spending  83.83%
Annual  Spending on Education 117.71%
Federal Budget Surplus in 2000 $236,241,000,000
Federal Budget Deficit 2017 -$665,372,000,000
 
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
US Gross Domestic Product $19,390,600,000,000
Non Adjusted Growth in US GDP 88.54%
Non Adjusted GDP to Federal Debt 87.13%
Adjusted Federal Debt to GDP  83.60%
 
Cummulative Increases 2000- 2017 2000-2018
US Per Capita Median Income  $505
All Sectors; Debt Securities and Loans; $41,375,300,000,000
Gross Public debt  $17,520,000,000,000
Total Trade Deficits  $9,197,751,000,000