Update for current Fed expectations for rates and when 21st of March 2018
If I am correct this trade will appreciate from 0.5500, (value $5,500) to 1.2500 (value $12,500) +$7,000, +127.27% by June 2018.
Charts to track this trade (our entry 0.5500, position value $5,500.00)
Intraday (10 minute price bars)
4 Year chart (daily data)
Each 0.01 change in price = $100.00
If the Fed is correct about the rate they set we’ll move from 0.5500 (value $5,500) to 1.7500 (value $17,500) +12,000, +218.18% (Fed’s website & all statements)
1) How to track this trade
1) Trade entry 28 November 2017 at 0.5500, position value = $5,500
1.2) I’m expecting the price to increase between now and June 2018
1.3) Position value to increase from 0.5500 ($5,500) to 1.2500 ($12,500)
1.4) Click here for the current chart/price (no password required)
1.5) Each 0.01 change in price = $100.00
1.6) Contracts we’re trading Long 4 GEM18 – Short 4 GEM22
2) Click here to enlarge the 5 year position valuation chart below
3) Fundamentals
3.1) Fed currently says 7, 0.25% rate hikes by December 2020
3.2) Market is pricing in 2, 0.25% hikes between June 2018 and June 2022
3.3) I believe we’ll see 5, 0.25% hikes priced in for June 2022 by June 2018
3.4) All Fed Policy meetings press conferences, videos and statements
4) Fed’s estimates of where rates will be and when.
4.1) 1.40% December 2017 (0.25% in rate hikes)
4.2) 2.10% December 2018 (0.95% in rate hikes)
4.3) 2.70% December 2019 (1.55% in rate hikes)
4.4) 2.90% December 2020 ( 1.75% in rate hikes)
5) Resources
5.1) What were trading to capture this move
5.2) Contract Specifications
5.3) Additional markets and strategies for trading rates higher
5.4) Educational videos
5.5) About us
5.6) Open an account
Send us a message or schedule an online review to speak with a broker who’ll answer your questions and provide supporting links for additional information and/or verification.
Regards,
Peter Knight Advisor
