Tag: @peterknightadvisor.com

1) Simplified Trend Qualification Procedure, quotes and charts are updated every 10 minutes

1.1) Pick a time frame to work with from 15 minutes to monthly using any chart linked in 2.2 though 2.12. (the shorter the time frame the shorter the trade duration)

1.2) Qualify the trend using the EMA9 (red line), if price action is above the EMA9 (red line) you’re in an up-trend, below the EMA9 a down-trend.

1.3) Confirm the EMA9 defined trend (red line) is above the EMA18 (blue line) for an up-trend or the EMA9 (red line) is below the EMA18 (blue line) for down-trend.

1.4) Confirm the EMA9 defined trend agrees with the composite of the 13 indicators linked in 2.1. If the chart and the trend confirmation in 2.1 do not agree stand aside.

1.5) Use Support & Resistance linked in 2.15 for setting profit objectives and risk levels, contact me for more information on how we use these.

2) NVDA Nvidia Corp

2.1) Today’s Technical Opinion
2.2) 2 day chart, 15 minute data
2.3) 3 day chart, 30 minute
2.4) 5 day chart, 60 minute data
2.5) 10 day chart 120 minute
2.6) 3 month chart, daily
2.7) 9 month chart, daily
2.8) 1 year chart, weekly
2.9) 3 year chart, weekly
2.10) 7 year Chart, monthly
2.11) 15 year chart using monthly data
2.12) 1983- Current Chart
2.13) Options Quotes
2.14) Ranges & Price Performance
2.15) Support & Resistance

If you have questions send a message or contact me

Regards,
Peter Knight Advisor

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Disclosure

1) Simplified Trend Qualification Procedure, quotes and charts are updated every 10 minutes

1.1) Pick a time frame to work with from 15 minutes to monthly using any chart linked in 2.2 though 2.12. (the shorter the time frame the shorter the trade duration)

1.2) Qualify the trend using the EMA9 (red line), if price action is above the EMA9 (red line) you’re in an up-trend, below the EMA9 a down-trend.

1.3) Confirm the EMA9 defined trend (red line) is above the EMA18 (blue line) for an up-trend or the EMA9 (red line) is below the EMA18 (blue line) for down-trend.

1.4) Confirm the EMA9 defined trend agrees with the composite of the 13 indicators linked in 2.1. If the chart and the trend confirmation in 2.1 do not agree stand aside.

1.5) Use Support & Resistance linked in 2.15 for setting profit objectives and risk levels, contact me for more information on how we use these.

2) NWL Newell Rubbermaid

2.1) Today’s Technical Opinion
2.2) 2 day chart, 15 minute data
2.3) 3 day chart, 30 minute
2.4) 5 day chart, 60 minute data
2.5) 10 day chart 120 minute
2.6) 3 month chart, daily
2.7) 9 month chart, daily
2.8) 1 year chart, weekly
2.9) 3 year chart, weekly
2.10) 7 year Chart, monthly
2.11) 15 year chart using monthly data
2.12) 1983- Current Chart
2.13) Options Quotes
2.14) Ranges & Price Performance
2.15) Support & Resistance

If you have questions send a message or contact me

Regards,
Peter Knight Advisor

—————————————————————-

Privacy Notice

Disclosure

1) Simplified Trend Qualification Procedure, quotes and charts are updated every 10 minutes

1.1) Pick a time frame to work with from 15 minutes to monthly using any chart linked in 2.2 though 2.12. (the shorter the time frame the shorter the trade duration)

1.2) Qualify the trend using the EMA9 (red line), if price action is above the EMA9 (red line) you’re in an up-trend, below the EMA9 a down-trend.

1.3) Confirm the EMA9 defined trend (red line) is above the EMA18 (blue line) for an up-trend or the EMA9 (red line) is below the EMA18 (blue line) for down-trend.

1.4) Confirm the EMA9 defined trend agrees with the composite of the 13 indicators linked in 2.1. If the chart and the trend confirmation in 2.1 do not agree stand aside.

1.5) Use Support & Resistance linked in 2.15 for setting profit objectives and risk levels, contact me for more information on how we use these.

Chart  We’re using monthly price bars on the chart below for long-term trades, this same procedure will work using any time frame from 15 minutes bars to monthly bars, it depends on whether your objective is trading intra-day, short, medium, or long-term, ATAs can be set up to trade all time periods or any combination of time periods.

2) F  Ford Motor Company

2.1) Today’s Technical Opinion
2.2) 2 day chart, 15 minute data
2.3) 3 day chart, 30 minute
2.4) 5 day chart, 60 minute data
2.5) 10 day chart 120 minute
2.6) 3 month chart, daily
2.7) 9 month chart, daily
2.8) 1 year chart, weekly
2.9) 3 year chart, weekly
2.10) 7 year Chart, monthly
2.11) 15 year chart using monthly data
2.12) 1983- Current Chart
2.13) Options Quotes
2.14) Ranges & Price Performance
2.15) Support & Resistance

If you have questions send a message or contact me

Regards,
Peter Knight Advisor

—————————————————————-

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Disclosure

1) Simplified Trend Qualification Procedure,

1.1) Pick a time frame to work with 30 Minute, Hourly, or 2 Hour.
1.2) If price action above the red line and red line is above the blue = long.
1.3) For longs, overall average on 2.1 below must greater than a 29% buy.
1.4) Risk on longs, if the red line moves below the blue exit the trade.
1.5) If price action is below the red line and the red is below the blue = short.
1.6) For shorts, overall average on 2.1 below must greater than a 29% sell.
1.7) Risk on shorts, if the red line moves above the blue exit the trade.
1.8) Same rules apply for all time periods 30 minute to monthly.
Prices are updated every 10 minutes if you have questions send a message.

2)  BAC  Bank of America

2.1) Today’s Technical Opinion
2.2) 2 day chart, 15 minute data
2.3) 3 day chart, 30 minute
2.4) 5 day chart, 60 minute data
2.5) 10 day chart 120 minute
2.6) 3 month chart, daily
2.7) 9 month chart, daily
2.8) 1 year chart, weekly
2.9) 3 year chart, weekly
2.10) 7 year Chart, monthly
2.11) 15 year chart using monthly data
2.12) 1983- Current Chart
2.13) Options Quotes
2.14) Ranges & Price Performance
2.15) Support & Resistance

If you have questions send a message or contact me

Regards,
Peter Knight Advisor

—————————————————————-

Privacy Notice

Disclosure

1) Simplified Trend Qualification Procedure,

1.1) Pick a time frame to work with 30 Minute, Hourly, or 2 Hour.
1.2) If price action above the red line and red line is above the blue = long.
1.3) For longs, overall average on 2.1 below must greater than a 29% buy.
1.4) Risk on longs, if the red line moves below the blue exit the trade.
1.5) If price action is below the red line and the red is below the blue = short.
1.6) For shorts, overall average on 2.1 below must greater than a 29% sell.
1.7) Risk on shorts, if the red line moves above the blue exit the trade.
1.8) Same rules apply for all time periods 30 minute to monthly.
Prices are updated every 10 minutes if you have questions send a message.

2) GE  General Electric Company

2.1) Today’s Technical Opinion
2.2) 2 day chart, 15 minute data
2.3) 3 day chart, 30 minute
2.4) 5 day chart, 60 minute data
2.5) 10 day chart 120 minute
2.6) 3 month chart, daily
2.7) 9 month chart, daily
2.8) 1 year chart, weekly
2.9) 3 year chart, weekly
2.10) 7 year Chart, monthly
2.11) 15 year chart using monthly data
2.12) 1983- Current Chart
2.13) Options Quotes
2.14) Ranges & Price Performance
2.15) Support & Resistance

If you have questions send a message or contact me

Regards,
Peter Knight Advisor

—————————————————————-

Privacy Notice

Disclosure

1) Simplified Trend Qualification Procedure, quotes and charts are updated every 10 minutes

1.1) Pick a time frame to work with from 15 minutes to monthly using any chart linked in 2.2 though 2.12. (the shorter the time frame the shorter the trade duration)

1.2) Qualify the trend using the EMA9 (red line), if price action is above the EMA9 (red line) you’re in an up-trend, below the EMA9 a down-trend.

1.3) Confirm the EMA9 defined trend (red line) is above the EMA18 (blue line) for an up-trend or the EMA9 (red line) is below the EMA18 (blue line) for down-trend.

1.4) Confirm the EMA9 defined trend agrees with the composite of the 13 indicators linked in 2.1. If the chart and the trend confirmation in 2.1 do not agree stand aside.

1.5) Use Support & Resistance linked in 2.15 for setting profit objectives and risk levels, contact me for more information on how we use these.

2)  AMD  Adv Micro Devices

2.1)   Today’s Technical Opinion
2.2)   2 day chart, 15 minute data
2.3)   3 day chart, 30 minute
2.4)   5 day chart, 60 minute data
2.5)   10 day chart 120 minute
2.6)   3 month chart, daily
2.7)   9 month chart, daily
2.8)    1 year chart, weekly
2.9)   3 year chart, weekly
2.10) 7 year Chart, monthly
2.11) 15 year chart using monthly data
2.12) 1983- Current Chart
2.13) Options Quotes
2.14) Ranges & Price Performance
2.15) Support & Resistance

If you have questions send a message or contact me

Regards,
Peter Knight Advisor

—————————————————————-

Privacy Notice

Disclosure

1) What’s Moving

Best longs	Best shorts
1 month	1 month
3 Month	3 Month
Year to Date	Year to Date
52 Weeks	52 Weeks

2) Buy, Sell Hold Summary

2.1) Long positions
2.2) Short positions

3) Example client analysis page

Stock	Analysis Page	Chart	Direction
AAPL	Apple Inc	Chart	Opinion
AES	The Aes Corp	Chart	Opinion
AIG	American Int. Group	Chart	Opinion
AMAT	Applied Materials	Chart	Opinion
AMD	Adv Micro Devices	Chart	Opinion
ATVI	Activision Blizzard	Chart	Opinion
BAC	Bank of America	Chart	Opinion
C	Citigroup Inc	Chart	Opinion
CMG	Chipotle Mexican Grill	Chart	Opinion
COTY	Coty Inc	Chart	Opinion
CSCO	Cisco Systems Inc	Chart	Opinion
CTL	Centurylink	Chart	Opinion
F	Ford Motor Company	Chart	Opinion
FCX	Freeport-Mcmoran Inc	Chart	Opinion
FTNT	Fortinet Inc	Chart	Opinion
GE	General Electric	Chart	Opinion
HBI	Hanesbrands Inc	Chart	Opinion
INTC	Intel Corp	Chart	Opinion
KEYS	Keysight Tech.	Chart	Opinion
KMI	Kinder Morgan	Chart	Opinion
KO	Coca-Cola Co.	Chart	Opinion
LLY	Eli Lilly and Co.	Chart	Opinion
MAT	Mattel Inc	Chart	Opinion
MAT	Mattel Inc	Chart	Opinion
MCD	Mcdonald’s Corp	Chart	Opinion
MRO	Marathon Oil Corp	Chart	Opinion
MSFT	Microsoft Corp	Chart	Opinion
MSFT	Microsoft Corp	Chart	Opinion
MU	Micron Technology	Chart	Opinion
NEM	Newmont Mining Corp	Chart	Opinion
NVDA	Nvidia Corp	Chart	Opinion
NWL	Newell Rubbermaid	Chart	Opinion
PFE	Pfizer Inc	Chart	Opinion
T	AT&T Inc	Chart	Opinion
TWTR	Twitter Inc	Chart	Opinion
WFC	Wells Fargo	Chart	Opinion
XLNX	Xilinx Inc	Chart	Opinion
XRX	Xerox Corp	Chart	Opinion

4) SEC filings & information for all 500 stocks

5) ATA performance page

6) About ATAs  and Account Opening Procedure

6.1) The Fee Structure For This Program
6.2) Defining Overall Risk For Your Account
6.3) Exchanges Traded
6.4) Brokerage Firms
6.5) How Balances Are Guaranteed Plus or Minus Trading
6.6) How To Open An Account

If you have any questions send a message or contact me

Regards,
Peter Knight Advisor

—————————————————————-

Privacy Notice

Disclosure

1) CBA.AX

1.1)   Today’s Technical Opinion
1.2)   2 day chart, 15 minute data
1.3)   3 day chart, 30 minute
1.4)   5 day chart, 60 minute data
1.5)   10 day chart 120 minute
1.6)   3 month chart, daily
1.7)   9 month chart, daily
1.8)    1 year chart, weekly
1.9)   3 year chart, weekly
1.10) 7 year Chart, monthly
1.11) 15 year chart using monthly data
1.12) 1983- Current Chart
1.13) Ranges & Price Performance
1.14) Support & Resistance

2) ANZ.AX

2.1)   Today’s Technical Opinion
2.2)   2 day chart, 15 minute data
2.3)   3 day chart, 30 minute
2.4)   5 day chart, 60 minute data
2.5)   10 day chart 120 minute
2.6)   3 month chart, daily
2.7)   9 month chart, daily
2.8)    1 year chart, weekly
2.9)   3 year chart, weekly
2.10) 7 year Chart, monthly
2.11) 15 year chart using monthly data
2.12) 1983- Current Chart
2.13) Ranges & Price Performance
2.14) Support & Resistance

3) WBC.AX

3.1)   Today’s Technical Opinion
3.2)   2 day chart, 15 minute data
3.3)   3 day chart, 30 minute
3.4)   5 day chart, 60 minute data
3.5)   10 day chart 120 minute
3.6)   3 month chart, daily
3.7)   9 month chart, daily
3.8)    1 year chart, weekly
3.9)   3 year chart, weekly
3.10) 7 year Chart, monthly
3.11) 15 year chart using monthly data
3.12) 1983- Current Chart
3.13) Ranges & Price Performance
3.14) Support & Resistance

4) NAB.AX

4.1)   Today’s Technical Opinion
4.2)   2 day chart, 15 minute data
4.3)   3 day chart, 30 minute
4.4)   5 day chart, 60 minute data
4.5)   10 day chart 120 minute
4.6)   3 month chart, daily
4.7)   9 month chart, daily
4.8)    1 year chart, weekly
4.9)   3 year chart, weekly
4.10) 7 year Chart, monthly
4.11) 15 year chart using monthly data
4.12) 1983- Current Chart
4.13) Ranges & Price Performance
4.14) Support & Resistance

If you have any questions send a message or contact me

Regards,
Peter Knight Advisor

—————————————————————

Privacy Notice

Disclosure

Recommended Starting Balance	$10,000.00
Cumulative Net Profit	$34,213.40
Maximum Drawdown (47.36%)	($4,735.72)
Best Year 2018 +131.94%	$13,194.07
Worst Year 2019  -19.29%	-$1,929.24
2015-2019 Average +74.65%	$7,464.24
2019   -19.29%	-$1,929.24

Performance is based on trading one $10,000 unit, never adding units and withdrawing all net profits annually.  The program has a realistic risk factor of $6,000 USD per unit, if you are not in a position to comfortably assume this risk you should not participate in this program.

Risk Disclosure   Defining Account Risk

2) Quick Links

2.01) Today’s market’s priced in rate or cut or hike though December 2020
2.02) Today’s probability of a rate cut or hike at the next Fed meeting
2.03) Today’s Treasury Rates (Bloomberg)
2.04) Federal Reserve,  3 month, 2 year, 5 year, 10 year & 30 year data
2.05) Treasury calculator
2.06) Interest Rate Futures Educational Page
2.07) Interest rate 3 month to 30 year curve
2.08) Fed Meetings and Press Conferences
2.09) Understanding the FOMC Report
2.10) Levels
2.12) Rate Analysis Page
2.13) Mini Program
2.14) Trading Rate Expectations

3) Interest Rate Futures/Options Educational Videos and Resources

3.01) Futures Educational Videos (33)
3.02) Futures Options Educational Videos (34)

3.03) Eurodollar Interest Rate Futures Contracts
3.04) Eurodollar Futures Pricing And The Forward Rate Market
3.05) How to Trade Eurodollar Spreads
3.06) Fed Fund Futures contracts
3.07) Understanding IMM Price and Date
3.08) Understanding Eurodollar Strips
3.09) What is the Eurodollar Settlement Process?
3.10) Treasury Futures Contracts
3.11) Calculating U.S. Treasury Pricing
3.12) Treasury Intermarket Spreads – The Yield Curve
3.13) Trading the U.S. Treasury Curve: Two versus Ten
3.14) How Can You Measure Risk in Treasuries?
3.15) Treasuries Hedging and Risk Management
3.16) The Basics of Treasuries Basis
3.17) Treasuries Delivery Process
3.18) The Importance of Basis Point Value (BPV)
3.19) Understanding Packs and Bundles
3.20) Understanding Convexity Bias
3.21) Understanding the FOMC Report
3.22) Get to know Treasuries Cheapest To Deliver (CTD)
3.23) Trading the Link Between USD/JPY and U.S. Treasuries

4) Previous Rate Reports and Articles 2015 – 2018

4.01) June 2018 Update Trading Rates Higher
4.02) US Economy by the numbers 2000 – 2018 4 June 2018
4.03) Trading Rates Higher & Fed Expectations 28 November 2017
4.04) Trading the Fed Funds rate higher 13 March 2017
4.05) Trade update 11 August 2016 through 20 January 2017
4.06) Trading Rates Higher & Fed Expectations 20 January 2017
4.07) Update Seeking Alpha 13 January 2017
4.08) Market Versus Fed For Rates 16 September 2016
4.09) Market Versus Fed Expectations December 2019 4 Sep. 2016
4.10) Update on Seeking Alpha 5 September 2016
4.11) Who’s right the market or the Fed 31 May 2016
4.12) Original positions published on Seeking Alpha 5 Nov. 2015
4.13) Countdown to Higher Rates 9 October 2015
4.14) Trading 3 Month Rates & Fed Expectations 24 Sep. 2015
4.15) What I See On The Horizon 6 August 2015
4.16) Hedging Treasury Risk 3 August 2015
4.17) The Math On Why U.S. Inflation Is “contained” 22 July 2015
4.18) Trading the Fed Funds Rate Higher 23 July 2015
4.19) Trading Rates Higher & Fed Expectations 9 June 2015
4.20) Trading 3 Month Rates & Fed Expectations 27 April 2015
4.21) Trading Rates Higher Using Cost Averaging 24 March 2015
4.22) Market versus Fed expectations 23 March 2015

5) Fed Funds Risk Reward Spreadsheets

5.01) 3 Month Rates Mar., Jun. Dec. Fed Funds Mar. hedge
5.02) Fed Funds December 2016
5.03) Fed Funds March 2016 S 99.74 (no hedge)
5.04) Fed Funds December 2016 S 99.46 (no hedge) 100K
5.05) Fed Funds December 2016 S 99.46 (no hedge) 10K
5.06) Trading 3 month rates higher through December 2016
5.07) July 2015 25k no hedge
5.08) July 2015 99.83 25K cost average hedge
5.09) July 2015 99.82 25K 87.50 hedge
5.10) July 2015 10K 99.81/99.75 hedge
5.11) Sep 2015 25k cost average hedge
5.12) Oct 2015 25K cost average hedge
5.13) Dec 2015 25K cost average hedge

6) 3 Month Deposit Spreadsheets

6.01) 3 Month Dec 2017 S 99.70 (no hedge)
6.02) 3 Month put weighted vol spread Dec 2017
6.03) 3 Month vol spread Dec 2017
6.04) 3 Month vol bear spread no hedge Dec 2017
6.05) 3 Month GEH-M-Z-201616 Fed Funds ZQ-H16 10.05.2015
6.06) Contract specifications
6.07) 3 Month Hedged Cost Average
6.08) 3 Month Rate September 2015 hedge
6.09) 3 Month Rate December 2015 hedge

7) Other Rate Markets we trade

7.01) US Interest rates
7.02) European interest rates
7.03) Australian interest rates
7.04) Educational videos and links

8) Program Structure and Account Opening Procedure

8.01) Automated Trading Accounts (ATA)
8.02) The Fee Structure For This Program
8.03) Defining Overall Risk For Your Account
8.04) Exchanges Traded
8.05) Brokerage Firms
8.06) How Balances Are Guaranteed Plus or Minus Trading
8.07) How To Open An Account

If you have any questions  contact me.

Regards,
Peter Knight Advisor

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Privacy Notice

Disclosure

Sure the Fed has been wrong about the rate they set but they been more accurate than 17 trillion in the face value of open positions.

Below are all the Fed press conferences versus the Market’s expectation since the 18th of September 2013.

2018	Fed or Mkt?	Rate on Fed meeting date	Fed est. + or – by Dec 2020	Market est. by Dec 2020
18-19 Dec		2.27%	0.73%	-0.16%
25-26 Sep		1.95%	1.45%	0.77%
12-12 Jun		1.82%	1.82%	0.74%
20-21 Mar		1.51%	1.89%	0.71%
2017	Fed or Mkt	Rate on Fed meeting date	Fed est. + or – by Dec 2018	Market est. by Dec 2018	Actual hike Dec 2018
12-13 Dec	Fed	1.30%	0.80%	0.49%	0.97%
19-20 Sep	Fed	1.15%	0.95%	0.45%	1.12%
13-14 Jun	Fed	1.04%	1.06%	0.46%	1.23%
14-15 Mar	Mkt	0.79%	1.48%	1.07%	1.31%
2016	Fed or Mkt	Rate on Fed meeting date	Fed est. + or – by Dec 2018	Market est. by Dec 2018	Actual hike Dec 2018
13-14 Dec	Fed	0.54%	1.70%	1.11%	1.73%
20-21 Sep	Fed	0.40%	1.40%	0.38%	1.87%
14-15 Jun	Fed	0.38%	2.12%	0.51%	1.89%
15-16 Mar	Fed	0.36%	2.64%	0.94%	1.91%
2015	Fed or Mkt	Rate on Fed meeting date	Fed est. hike by Dec 2017	Market’s est. hike by Dec 17	Actual hike by Dec 2017
15-16 Dec	Mkt	0.24%	3.01%	1.10%	1.06%
16-17 Sep	Mkt	0.14%	3.36%	1.33%	1.16%
16-17 Jun	Mkt	0.13%	2.97%	1.81%	1.17%
17-18 Mar	Mkt	0.11%	2.99%	1.93%	1.19%
2014	Fed or Mkt?	Rate on Fed meeting date	Fed est. hike by Dec 2016	Market hike by Dec 16	Actual rise Dec 2016
16-17 Dec	Mkt	0.12%	2.38%	1.40%	0.29%
16-17 Sep	Mkt	0.09%	2.81%	1.73%	0.32%
17-18 Jun		0.10%	No Guidance	1.73%	0.31%
18-19 Mar		0.08%	No Guidance	1.75%	0.33%
2013	Fed or Mkt	Rate on Fed meeting date	Fed est. + or – by Dec 2015	Market hike by Dec 16	Actual hike Dec 2015
17-18 Dec	Fed	0.09%	0.91%	0.74%	0.03%
17-18 Sep	Fed	0.08%	0.92%	1.35%	0.04%

How we’re trading these moves

Performance for our Long/Short rate performance 2015 through 2018

Market’s rate expectation through 2027

If you have any questions send a message or contact me

Regards,
Peter Knight Advisor

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Privacy Notice

Disclosure