Tag: Futures Trading

Setting up a gold collar trade 21:10

1) Review links

1.1) 20 Year chart using monthly data
1.2) 10 Year Chart, monthly Data
1.3) 3 Year chart, weekly data
1.4) 6 month chart, daily data
1.5) 10 day chart 60-minute data
1.6) Today’s using 5-minute data
1.7) Today’s Technical Opinion
1.8) Ranges & Price Performance
1.9) Support & Resistance
1.10) Barchart Quotes, All Deliveries
1.11) Barchart Options Quotes
1.12) CME Futures Quotes, All Deliveries
1.13) CME Option Quotes
1.14) Contract Specifications each 1.00 = $100.00
1.15) Exchange Margin Requirement
1.16) Metals Analysis Page
1.17) Gold-Collar-Spreadsheet
1.18) Track 72 EMA contract markets

2) Educational

2.1) Basics of the Futures Markets
2.2) Basics of Futures Options
2.3) Gold Futures Video
2.4) Gold Educational Videos and Links
2.5) Introduction to Order Types
2.6) Detailed Description of Order Types With Examples
2.7) Understanding Futures Margin Requirements
2.8) Understanding Moving Averages
2.9) Understanding Support and Resistance
2.10) About Bollinger Bands & How to Set Them
2.11) Defining Trend, Trade Duration & Number of Contracts Traded
2.12) Explaining Call Options (Short and Long)
2.13) Explaining Put Options (Short and Long)
2.14) Option Collars

3) Program Structure and Account Opening Procedure

3.1) (ATA’s), What They Are and How They Work
3.2) The Fee Structure For This Program
3.3) Defining Overall Risk For Your Account
3.4) How Balances Are Guaranteed Plus or Minus Trading
3.5) How To Open An Account

4) Primary Metals Exchanges

4.1) Chicago Mercantile Exchange/Comex
4.2) Additional Gold trading Information From the CME
4.3) London Metal Exchange

5) The demise of the dollar and monetization of 30+ trillion in U.S. Federal debt

If you’d like to learn more about Automated Trading Accounts (ATAs) contact me. My current date & time is April 29, 2026 3:56 am I’m available from 7 am to 7 pm Monday through Thursday, 7 am to 2 pm on Fridays, off hours text, Skype or on site message me  with a call back date and time (please use your local time zone).

If you have any questions, please contact me.

Peter Knight
Voice & Video Chats.
Message me

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Disclosure

 

How banks borrow from the Fed, leverage it, speculate with it, receive the profits while the taxpayer assumes the risk.

If you have any questions, please contact me.

Peter Knight
Voice & Video Chats.
Message me

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Disclosure

 

1) 3 Hour Metals FX Energy Spreadsheet
Track all trades as they occur here, previous days reported here

2) 2014-2023 Summary

Risk Disclosure

3) 2014-2023 monthly and annual net performance per unit, no compounding,  withdrawing all profits annually. Click here to track trades as they occur.

Risk Disclosure

4) Any allocation can be traded automatically for your account.

• • Contact us with your questions
  • Schedule an online review

5) Using any reasonable maintenance balance

• • AIM Advisory & Risk Control Agreement
  • Risk Control Agreement

6) About Automated trading Accounts (ATAs) how they work and fee structure.

About Automated Trading Accounts (ATAs)

The ATA Fee Structure

Defining Overall Risk for Your ATA

Track Performance For Any Allocation As Trades Occur

Allocations By Sector, Time Period & Contract Size

Create Your Own Allocation

Risk Disclosure

Brokerage Firms

How Funds Are Protected

Open An Account

Futures General Information

Options General Information

Market Analysis Pages

Educational Resources

If you have any questions, please contact me.

Peter Knight
Voice & Video Chats.
Message me

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Privacy Notice

Risk Disclosure

 

1) 207257 FX Jan-2000 Jul-2022 hourly & daily performance spreadsheet

2) 2000-2022 net performance, no compounding, withdrawing all profits annually.

Disclosure

3) Using this spreadsheet you can create any allocation of the EMA 9-18 daily and hourly markets and immediately review 2000-2022 performance.

• • Enter your start balance in cell H21,
  • Enter number of contacts traded for the daily EMA 9-18 in cells I-21 through I-47
  • Enter number of contacts traded for hourly EMA 9-18 in cells I-21 through I-47
  • 2000-2021 monthly and annual performance shows in cells F-55 through F-390
  • Net profit per unit H-22
  • Maximum month-on month drawdown H-23
  • Reward risk ration (profit divided by drawdown) .H-24

4) Any allocation can be traded automatically for your account.

• • Contact us with your questions
  • Schedule an online review

5) Using any reasonable maintenance balance

• • AIM Advisory & Risk Control Agreement
  • Risk Control Agreement

About Automated Trading Accounts (ATAs)

The ATA Fee Structure

Defining Overall Risk for Your ATA

Brokerage Firms

How Funds Are Protected

Open An Account

Futures General Information

Options General Information

Market Analysis Pages

Educational Resources

 

 

Top allocations trading the hourly EMA 9-18

Sections
1) Performance trading the hourly EMA 9-18 January 2016 through July 2022
2) Create any allocation of daily and hourly markets and review 2000-2022 performance
3) How any allocation can be traded automatically
4) How overall account risk can be defined before the first trade goes on
5) About Automated Trading Accounts (ATAs), brokerage and safety of funds

Allocation	Minimum	Net Profit	Monthly	Risk	Best	Worst	Annual	Last 12
Webpage	(USD)	Profit	Drawdown	Tolerance	Year	Year	Average	Months
133835	$200,000	$1,452,926	($16,617)	($42,000)	$326,834	$129,573	$220,698	$293,219
155488	$150,000	$1,142,069	($14,102)	($36,000)	$277,088	$95,864	$173,479	$236,633
771098	$150,000	$1,067,392	($12,660)	($32,000)	$263,877	$94,795	$162,135	$197,836
105383	$100,000	$952,635	($12,539)	($32,000)	$215,708	$81,689	$144,704	$192,610
679112	$75,000	$884,712	($9,721)	($30,000)	$209,995	$74,948	$134,386	$166,744
172677	$75,000	$748,245	($9,282)	($28,000)	$178,634	$62,059	$113,657	$139,789
397520	$75,000	$789,023	($8,326)	($25,000)	$174,329	$65,401	$119,852	$163,012
137994	$50,000	$583,492	($8,688)	($22,000)	$141,972	$45,491	$88,632	$119,765
220783	$40,000	$502,597	($5,601)	($15,000)	$119,512	$43,451	$76,344	$106,904
FXGCSI	$30,000	$271,584	($5,433)	($14,000)	$60,725	$21,574	$41,253	$44,699
FXGC	$30,000	$285,184	($4,146)	($11,000)	$65,810	$16,463	$43,319	$58,074
FX-01	$25,000	$238,632	($7,124)	($18,000)	$57,520	$16,457	$36,248	$42,285
174054	$20,000	$246,831	($4,425)	($11,000)	$72,507	$22,087.	$37,974	$39,443
Performance trading one unit, net of all spreads and commissions, no compounding and withdrawing all profits annually. Allocation pages provide full disclosure of trading methodology, all trades & data enabling objective performance verification, you can also track trades as they occur here or on Barchart
Risk Disclosure				How to Define Account Risk

x
x
x
x

2) Using this spreadsheet you can create any allocation of EMA 9-18 markets and immediately review 2000-2022 performance.

• • Enter your start balance in cell H21,
  • Enter number of contacts traded for the daily EMA 9-18 in cells I-21 through I-47
  • Enter number of contacts traded for hourly EMA 9-18 in cells I-21 through I-47
  • 2000-2021 monthly and annual performance shows in cells F-55 through F-390
  • Net profit per unit H-22
  • Maximum month-on month drawdown H-23
  • Reward risk ratio (profit divided by drawdown) .H-24
  • Top 20,000 allocations all majors sorted by reward risk
  • Top 20,000 allocations all majors sorted by minimum account
  • Top 20,000 FX allocations sorted by reward risk
  • Top 20,000 FX allocations sorted by reward risk
  • Top 20,000 mini and micros on the majors sorted by reward risk

Sections
1) Top allocations trading the hourly & daily EMA 9-18 January 2016 through June 2022
2) Create any allocation of daily and hourly markets and review 2000-2022 performance
3) How any allocation can be traded automatically
4) How overall account risk can be defined before the first trade goes on
5) About Automated Trading Accounts (ATAs), brokerage and safety of funds
*  Track trades as they occur daily, hourly or on Barchart.

Allocation	Minimum	Net	Monthly	Risk	Best	Worst	Annual	Last 12
Webpage	(USD)	Profit	Drawdown	Tolerance	Year	Year	Average	Months
972356	$100,000	$2,485,470	($22,172)	($56,000)	$256,754	$36,010	$110,058	$209,100
775997 FX	$100,000	$2,044,983	($17,770)	($45,000)	$230,488	$33,632	$90,553	$177,928
207257	$75,000	$1,652,930	($13,375)	($34,000)	$147,204	$27,669	$73,193	$129,591
827064 FX	$75,000	$1,459,275	($14,176)	($36,000)	$162,708	$24,015	$64,617	$84,339
953771	$65,000	$1,235,168	($13,073)	($33,000)	$126,227	$16,459	$54,694	$95,474
193080	$60,000	$1,262,359	($11,882)	($30,000)	$159,313	$5,026	$55,898	$121,416
821739	$50,000	$1,215,662	($11,672)	($30,000)	$127,986	$16,649	$53,850	$102,772
105237	$50,000	$866,311	($8,358)	($21,000)	$138,675	$4,037	$38,362	$112,287
564807	$40,000	$881,893	($8,396)	($21,000)	$128,879	$1,083	$39,051	$93,972
293261 FX	$35,000	$767,686.	($8,268)	($21,000)	$92,215	$9,803	$33,993	$76,128
10384-FX	$25,000	$553,298	($7,171)	($18,000)	$117,972	$1,191	$24,500	$66,420
771479	$25,000	$552,269	($5,151)	($13,000)	$117,551	$2,432	$24,455	$74,792
246520	$25,000	$496,687	($4,330)	($11,000)	$86,298	$3,661	$21,994	$65,601
351160	$25,000	$538,341	($4,589)	($12,000)	$89,058	$4,200	$23,838	$65,950
550717 FX	$25,000	$417,750	($4,705)	($12,000)	$78,789	$1,090	$18,498	$48,536
Performance trading one unit, net of all spreads and commissions, no compounding and withdrawing all profits annually. Allocation pages provide full disclosure of trading methodology, all trades & data enabling objective performance verification, you can also track trades as they occur daily, hourly or on Barchart.
Risk Disclosure				How to Define Overall Account Risk

 2) Using this spreadsheet you can create any allocation of EMA 9-18 markets and immediately review 2000-2022 performance.

• • Enter your start balance in cell H21,
  • Enter number of contacts traded for the daily EMA 9-18 in cells I-21 through I-47
  • Enter number of contacts traded for hourly EMA 9-18 in cells I-21 through I-47
  • 2000-2021 monthly and annual performance shows in cells F-55 through F-390
  • Net profit per unit H-22
  • Maximum month-on month drawdown H-23
  • Reward risk ration (profit divided by drawdown) .H-24

Top allocations trading the hourly EMA 9-18

Sections
1) Performance trading the hourly EMA 9-18 January 2016 through April 2022
2) Create any allocation of daily and hourly markets and review 2000-2022 performance
3) How any allocation can be traded automatically
4) How overall account risk can be defined before the first trade goes on
5) About Automated Trading Accounts (ATAs), brokerage and safety of funds

Allocation	Minimum	Net Profit	Monthly	Risk	Best	Worst	Annual	Last 12
Webpage	(USD)	Profit	Drawdown	Tolerance	Year	Year	Average	Months
All Majors	$200,000	$1,608,978	($31,934)	($96,000)	$476,059	$86,917	$254,049	$322,011
419881	$200,000	$1,217.979	($23,209)	($70,000)	$354,192	$65,046	$192,312	$255,231
373834	$150,000	$1,115,747	($10,539)	($32,000)	$251,827	$99,034	$176,171	$229,511
895778	$125,000	$981,009	($12,647)	($38,000)	$234,687	$81,902	$154,896	$205,813
411064	$100,000	$1,067,177	($13,098)	($40,000)	$270,543	$86,229	$168,502	$226,133
663294	$75,000	$568,326	($8,715)	($27,000)	$130,715	$50,765	$89,735	$118,437
991131	$50,000	$581,471	($9,023)	($28,000)	$132,160	$43,604	$91,811	$129,816
137994	$50,000	$558,967	-$7,388	-$23,000	$141,972	$45,491	$88,258	$122,890
655457	$30,000	$310,455	($4,587)	($14,000)	$79,360	$27,429	$49,019	$49,221
595715	$30,000	$295,852	($4,481)	($14,000)	$84,845	$29,426	$46,714	$43,020
195104	$25,000	$346,084	($4,230)	($13,000)	$90,798	$29,353	$54,646	$63,461
243127	$25,000	$320,006	($4,869)	($15,000)	$87,944	$33,521	$50,527	$48,793
796517	$25,000	$226,710	($2,190)	($7,000)	$51,401	$19,566	$35,796	$43,372
FX-001	$25,000	$231,463	($3,195)	($10,000)	$56,377	$16,345	$36,547	$50,927
100771	$15,000	$187,900	($1,686)	($6,000)	$45,660	$17,833	$29,668	$34,923
Performance trading one unit, net of all spreads and commissions, no compounding and withdrawing all profits annually. Allocation pages provide full disclosure of trading methodology, all trades & data enabling objective performance verification, you can also track trades as they occur here or on Barchart
Risk Disclosure				How to Define Account Risk

x
x
x
x
x

2) Using this spreadsheet you can create any allocation of EMA 9-18 daily and hourly markets and immediately review 2000-2022 performance.

• • Enter your start balance in cell H21,
  • Enter number of contacts traded for the daily EMA 9-18 in cells I-21 through I-47
  • Enter number of contacts traded for hourly EMA 9-18 in cells I-21 through I-47
  • 2000-2021 monthly and annual performance shows in cells F-55 through F-390
  • Net profit per unit H-22
  • Maximum month-on month drawdown H-23
  • Reward risk ratio (profit divided by drawdown) .H-24
  • Top 20,000 allocations all majors sorted by reward risk
  • Top 20,000 allocations all majors sorted by minimum account
  • Top 20,000 FX allocations sorted by reward risk
  • Top 20,000 FX allocations sorted by reward risk
  • Top 20,000 mini and micros on the majors sorted by reward risk

The automated hourly program has a risk control that takes the program entirely out of the market when the average daily ranges exceed the overall price change for the previous week in the majority of markets traded. if the risk control is activated clients that want to reenter prior to the filter disengaging need to contact us to confirm allocation and risk. 

When risk control is activated all positions are liquidated and the hourly program remains neutral until overall weekly change in market price for the previous week is greater than the average of the daily ranges, once an individual market qualifies positions for that market are reestablished.

Risk control = overall rate of change divided by average daily range (it should be greater then 1 to 1). This risk filter has taken us out of the market 7 times since 2008 most recently 25 May 2022. 

Example,

NASDAQ, average daily ranges from the 20^th through the 25^th were 400.75 points or $8,015 per contact, overall change from the 20^th through the 25^th 44.25 points or $885 per contract, Total reversals 8, overall change divided by average daily range = 0.11 to 1 (which is a terrible ratio it should be greater than 1 to 1). I’d also like to point out the price gaps during these sideways volatile markets a good example is the 23^rd, on the 23rd from the settlement at 15:00 Chicago to the reopen at 17:00 Chicago the market gapped (no trades) 144 points against the hourly trend ($2,880 per contract price gap)

Chart

Volatility is manageable if there is carry through,

From January 18^th, through January 23^rd, 2022, the NASDAQ moved from 15,458 down to 14,544, down 914 points or $18,280 per contract with 4 reversals. Average daily ranges from the 18th through the 23rd, 492 points or $9,840 per contract, overall change divided by average daily range = 1.86 to 1.  (a tradable ratio for the hourly)

Chart

During the same period we had the same scenarios in the S&P,

Looking at the chart below note the break in the S&P on May 20^th representing $7,050 per contract move lower only to be followed by a recovery of the same amount on the same day.

 

Summary

 

We had a $7,100 range per contract on the 20^th with a settle 1.00 point lower than the open or $50.00 per contact. May 25^th a $4,212.75 range per contract with 3 reversals, the risk control filter took us out preventing these reversals.

 

Average daily range 19^th through the 25^th, 96.125 points representing $4,806.25 per contract

 

Overall change in price from the 20^th through the 25^th 66.25 points representing $3,312.50 per contract, Overall change divided by average daily range 0.69 to 1 (less than 1 to 1 is bad)

 

Chart

Sideways high volatility is tolerable if it’s limited to one sector, but when it spills over the majority of sectors traded like to did from the 20th of May 2022 through the 25th it’s time to exit, wait for trends to clean up and renter positions one market at a time when their weekly change to daily range ratio exceeds 1 to 1.

Silver, from the 20th through the 25^th silver had an average daily range of $2,543.75 per contact. 

On the 20^th silver traded at $22.020,  on the 25^th it traded at the exact same price, overall change from the 20^th through the 25^th, $0.15.per ounce or $750 per contract. Overall change (0.15) divided by average daily range (0.5086) = 0.2948 to 1 (a terrible ratio)

Chart

Crude oil, overall change in price the 19^th of May 2022 through the 25th $1.52 representing $1,520 per contact, average daily range from the 19^th through the 25^th $3.58 or $3,580 per contact. Overall range divided by average daily range 0.42 to 1  (anything less than 1 to 1 is bad).

Chart

It’s frustrating to exit the market and potentially miss moves but one has to ask themselves would they rather be out of the market wishing they were in or in the market wishing they were out?

 

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Disclosure