Trading the Fed’s timeline for rate hikes –

The next Fed meeting is 27 October with a 0.10% to 0.25% rate hike on deck.
Click here for media stories within the last 24 hours, here for the last week, here last month.

The Fed’s timeline for rate hikes and corresponding contract valuations

Current rate for March 2016 delivery (ZQH16) 0.3800%, contract value = $1,583

Dec 2015 = 0.6250%, contract value = $2,604 or +54.49%
Mar 2016 = 0.9394%, contract value = $3,914 or +147.25%
Dec 2016 = 1.8750%, contract value = $7,812  or +393.49%
Dec 2017 = 3.2500%, contract value = $13,541  or +755.40%

1954-2014 average = 5.10%, contract value = $22,250  or +1,305.55%

Below is a 10 minute video on where the Fed sees rates, when, and what the move is worth. Specific trades are on links 12, 13 and 14, email for others, managed currency account performance is on link 18.

Review links

1)   The world’s largest dollar volume exchange group
2)   Markets traded
3)   Financial Safeguard System
4)   CME countdown to higher rates
5)   CME interest rate commentary
6)   CME educational material
7)   CME videos
8)   CME Futures Institute
9)   Fed website for videos and speech transcripts
10) What the Fed funds rate is and how it’s set
11) What the 3 month rate is and how it’s set
12) March 2016 no hedge
13) Fed Funds March 2016
14) 3 Month Dec Mar Jun 2016 hedged
15)  Open with DFX
16) Open with your choice of member firms for larger accounts.
17) Currency performance update

18) More on where the Fed sees rates and when
19) U.S. by the numbers
20) China by the numbers & World currency status
21) Bernanke and the “Great Recession”
22) FOMC meeting schedule
23) Top rate stories for this week
24) Top rate stories within the last 24 hours

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RISK DISCLOSURE STATEMENT

PROGRAM AVAILABILITY IS DEPENDENT ON YOUR COUNTRY OF RESIDENCY AND FINANCIAL STATUS

PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

EXAMPLES OF HISTORIC PRICE MOVES OR EXTREME MARKET CONDITIONS ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY THAT SUCH MOVES OR CONDITIONS ARE COMMON OCCURRENCES OR ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR. HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADE PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

BID/ASK SPREADS, BROKERAGE COMMISSION, CLEARING, EXCHANGE AND REGULATORY FEES WILL HAVE AN ADVERSE IMPACT ON THE NET OVERALL PERFORMANCE OF YOUR ACCOUNT. PRIOR TO MAKING A DECISION TO PARTICIPATE IN ANY INVESTMENT MAKE SURE YOU FULLY UNDERSTAND THE FEES ASSOCIATED WITH TRADING.

THE INFORMATION PROVIDED IN THIS REPORT CONTAINS RESEARCH, MARKET COMMENTARY AND TRADE RECOMMENDATIONS. YOU MAY BE SOLICITED FOR AN ACCOUNT BY ONE OF OUR REPRESENTATIVES OR EMPLOYEES. IT SHOULD BE KNOWN THAT THE REPRESENTATIVES OF ANY FIRM MAY TRADE FUTURES AND OPTIONS FOR THEIR OWN ACCOUNTS OR THOSE OF OTHERS. DUE TO VARIOUS FACTORS (SUCH AS MARGIN REQUIREMENTS, RISK FACTORS, TRADING OBJECTIVES, TRADING INSTRUCTIONS, TRADING STRATEGIES, AND OTHER FACTORS) SUCH TRADING MAY RESULT IN THE LIQUIDATION OR INITIATION OF FUTURES OR OPTIONS POSITIONS MAY DIFFER FROM THE OPINIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS FOUND IN THIS REPORT.

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE PERFORMANCE. THE RISK OF LOSS IN DERIVATIVE CONTRACTS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL THEREFORE INVESTORS SHOULD UNDERSTAND THE RISKS INVOLVED IN TAKING ANY LEVERAGED POSITION AND MUST BE IN A POSITION ASSUME LOSS FOR THE RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH SUCH INVESTMENTS AND FOR TRADE RESULTS.

PLEASE CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR CIRCUMSTANCES AND RESOURCES.

Published by

Asset Investment Management

Family Office, Advisors

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