Click here to enlarge the price/valuation chart below
Click here for a current chart
Interest Rates; the Fed has defined we’re the want rates and when
7) Click here for Fed chair Yellen’s rate expectations (2 minute video)
8) FOMC meeting schedule, statements and videos
9) The last tightening cycle 2004-2006 from 1.25% to 5.25%
10) FOMC interest rate hike countdown
11) Bunds are currently negative
12) Bund quotes and charts
13) Bloomberg U.S. Treasury quotes
14) U.S. Interest rate futures quotes and charts
While were waiting for the major market move higher to engage we’re trading the Fed’s defined range.
15) Click here for the full report on trading the Fed’s defined range.
16) Click here to enlarge the rate, contract price valuation chart below.
17) Click here for Bloomberg cash quotes, set the time window to 5Y in the upper right.
18) Each 0.01 change in rate = $41.67 change in contract value.
Capturing the long term move higher
The Fed has defined where they see rates and when in 3 out of the last 4 meetings.
From near 0.00% rates can only have a major market move in one direction.
The current Fed funds rate is 0.1000% contact value = $416.
The Fed’s target for this rate by the end of 2017 is 3.75%, contract value $15,624.
19) Click here for the complete report on where, when and what this move is worth.
20) Click here to enlarge the rate, price valuation chart below, each 0.01 = $41.67.
21) Click here for a current 1954-2015 chart and historical data on the Fed’s site.
Using the spreadsheets and links below I can show you what we’re trading and how enabling you to experiment with any potential outcome for any trade or any trading results using your own criteria.
Call if you have questions or need additional information on Euro or Asian rates.
Interest Rates
22) Where, when and what the move higher is worth
23) Where the Fed sees rates and when (2 minutes)
24) How to calculate market versus Fed expectations
25) Trading the Fed’s Defined Range Simplified
26) Trading rates higher using cost averaging
Additional spreadsheets
Fed Funds
27) What the Fed funds rate is and how it’s set
28) Contract specifications
29) Fed funds quotes all deliveries
30) Generic Fed funds 50k no hedged
31) 2015-cost-average-risk-reward-16
32) July 2015 25k no hedge
33) July 2015 99.83 25K cost average hedge
34) July 2015 99.82 25K 87.50 hedge
35) July 2015 10K 99.81/99.75 hedge
36) Sep 2015 25k cost average hedge
37) Oct 2015 25K cost average hedge
38) October 2015 cost average with instructions
39) Dec 2015 25K cost average hedge
3 Month
40) What the 3 month rate is and its history
41) What the 3 month rate is and its history
42) Contract specifications
43) 3 Month hedged cost average
44) 3 Month Rate September 2015 hedge
45) 3 Month Rate December 2015 hedge
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Click here for contact details
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RISK DISCLOSURE STATEMENT
PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. EXAMPLES OF HISTORIC PRICE MOVES OR EXTREME MARKET CONDITIONS ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY THAT SUCH MOVES OR CONDITIONS ARE COMMON OCCURRENCES OR ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR.
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT.
IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADE PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF THE HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.
BID/ASK SPREADS, BROKERAGE COMMISSION, CLEARING, EXCHANGE AND REGULATORY FEES WILL HAVE AN ADVERSE IMPACT ON THE NET OVERALL PERFORMANCE OF YOUR ACCOUNT. PRIOR TO MAKING A DECISION TO PARTICIPATE IN ANY INVESTMENT MAKE SURE YOU FULLY UNDERSTAND THE FEES ASSOCIATED WITH TRADING.
THE INFORMATION PROVIDED IN THIS REPORT CONTAINS RESEARCH, MARKET COMMENTARY AND TRADE RECOMMENDATIONS. YOU MAY BE SOLICITED FOR AN ACCOUNT BY ONE OF OUR REPRESENTATIVES OR EMPLOYEES. IT SHOULD BE KNOWN THAT THE REPRESENTATIVES OF OUR FIRM MAY TRADE FUTURES AND OPTIONS FOR THEIR OWN ACCOUNTS OR THOSE OF OTHERS. DUE TO VARIOUS FACTORS (SUCH AS MARGIN REQUIREMENTS, RISK FACTORS, TRADING OBJECTIVES, TRADING INSTRUCTIONS, TRADING STRATEGIES, AND OTHER FACTORS) SUCH TRADING MAY RESULT IN THE LIQUIDATION OR INITIATION OF FUTURES OR OPTIONS POSITIONS THAT DIFFER FROM THE OPINIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS FOUND IN THIS REPORT.
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE PERFORMANCE. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES CONTRACTS OR COMMODITY OPTIONS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL, AND THEREFORE INVESTORS SHOULD UNDERSTAND THE RISKS INVOLVED IN TAKING LEVERAGED POSITIONS AND MUST ASSUME RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH SUCH INVESTMENTS AND FOR THEIR RESULTS.
YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR CIRCUMSTANCES AND FINANCIAL RESOURCES